FLEMING, JOHN C. JR.

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. Senate · Louisiana · Statewide · Election 2026 · ChallengerS6LA00318

Overview

Raised: $12.3Mvs $36.3K 2023–2024
Spent: $12.4Mvs $17.4K 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $5,359vs $18.9K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $4.6Mvs $529K 2023–2024

FEC candidate summary totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Likely R
Predicted margin: R+4.4

VotePredictor forecasts this race between Jamie Davis (D) and Julia Letlow (R) as of November 11, 2026, giving the Republican a 93% chance. John C. Fleming, Jr. is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. Based on 3 polls of the race, blended with its fundamentals.

The Republican’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Aug 19, 2026	68%
Sep 19, 2026	68%
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Oct 31, 2026	98%
Nov 3, 2026	92%
Nov 5, 2026	93%
Nov 6, 2026	92%
Nov 7, 2026	92%
Nov 8, 2026	92%
Nov 9, 2026	93%
Nov 10, 2026	92%
Nov 11, 2026	93%

As VotePredictor published it each day since August 19, 2026.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

2 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 2 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $875,000
FLETCHER CONSULTANTS, LLC received 77.8% of positive itemized operating spending in FLEMING FOR LOUISIANA, INC.'s report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Jun 17, 2026
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $52,866
REVOLUTIONIZING MICROTARGETED CAMPAIGNS (RMC) received 65.1% of positive itemized operating spending in FLEMING FOR LOUISIANA, INC.'s report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Mar 20, 2025

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 2 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. Senate · Louisiana · Statewide
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: FLEMING FOR LOUISIANA, INC. (C00597013)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding John C. Fleming, Jr.? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$653.8K
Unitemized individual contributions$96.5K
Other committees$8,000
Candidate loans$11.6M

Top contributors

FLEMING, JOHN C. JR.$8.1M7 contributions
FLEMING, JOHN CALVIN JR$3.4M6 contributions
SYKES, JAYRepublicanDerived from contributions$11K4 contributions
VAN METER, MARY MRS.

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$4.7M
Loan repayments$7.5M
Contribution refunds$12.6K

Largest operating payments

FLEMING, JOHN C. JR.$2MApr 3, 2025
FLEMING, JOHN C. JR.$2MJul 3, 2025
FLEMING, JOHN CALVIN JR$1.9MJan 5, 2026
FLEMING, JOHN C. JR.$1.5MOct 2, 2025
FLETCHER CONSULTANTS, LLC$375KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Jun 17, 2026
FLETCHER CONSULTANTS, LLC$350KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Jun 11, 2026
FLETCHER CONSULTANTS, LLC$250KMEDIA PLACEMENT · May 7, 2026
FLETCHER CONSULTANTS, LLC$215KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Apr 30, 2026
FLETCHER CONSULTANTS, LLC

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$11,900	$0
Feb 25	$81,904	$0
Mar 25	$2,161,050	$0
Apr 25	$31,050	$2,000,000
May 25	$23,407	$0
Jun 25	$2,057,298	$0
Jul 25	$14,852	$2,000,000
Aug 25	$121,550	$0
Sep 25	$2,059,000	$0
Oct 25	$27,360	$1,629,275
Nov 25	$20,750	$0
Dec 25	$2,010,800	$0
Jan 26	$1,750	$1,870,000
Feb 26	$510,300	$0
Mar 26	$2,025,415	$0
Apr 26	$20,353	$0
May 26	$33,350	$0
Jun 26	$957,234	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. Senate
State / district: Louisiana · Statewide
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: 697 FLEMING LANE · MINDEN, Louisiana, 71055-3073
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

FLEMING FOR LOUISIANA, INC.C00597013 Authorized candidateFLEMING, JOHN C. JR.S6LA00318
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $12,560
Debts owed by committees: $4,597,909
Last report: Not reported

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash8d600b7f1b922f7c84127c7e48dd6831dac24fdf3cee542518f67cf9a052db9c

View official FEC record

FLEMING, JOHN C. JR.

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast