JACOBS, SARA

DemocraticFEC reportedDemocratic candidate · U.S. House · California · District 51 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH8CA49074

Overview

Raised: $1.9Mvs $1.7M 2023–2024
Spent: $1.6Mvs $1.7M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $317.4Kvs $77.4K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $350Kvs $350K 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 99%
Rating: Safe D
Predicted margin: D+25.5

VotePredictor gives Sara Jacobs a 99% chance of winning as of October 30, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Sara Jacobs’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Oct 30, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review · No open linked indicators

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

No open indicators are linked in the published index. This is not a compliance clearance.

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · California · District 51
Reported party: Democratic
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: SARA JACOBS FOR CONGRESS (C00719559)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Sara Jacobs? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$335.2K
Unitemized individual contributions$189.8K
Other committees$266.8K
Candidate contributions$934K

Top contributors

JACOBS, SARA$934K34 contributions
SARA JACOBS HOUSE VICTORY FUNDDemocraticInferred from FEC-reported participants$133K5 contributions
BLUE, ALLEN98% Democratic · 0% unclassifiedDerived from contributions$10.5K3 contributions

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1.1M
Contribution refunds$9,730
Other disbursements$560.3K

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

JSTREETPAC99% Democratic-aligned activity · 1% unclassifiedInferred from activity$5,100

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

SUNNY DAY STRATEGIES$51.1KDIGITAL CONSULTING · Jul 2, 2025
SUNNY DAY STRATEGIES$50KCOMMUNICATIONS CONSULTING · Dec 15, 2025
NGP VAN$14.4KSOFTWARE RENTAL · Jun 26, 2026
SUNNY DAY STRATEGIES$10KCOMMUNICATIONS CONSULTING · Nov 12, 2025
NGP VAN$8,376SOFTWARE RENTAL · Oct 2, 2025

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: California · District 51
Party affiliation: Democratic
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: P.O. BOX 120085 · SAN DIEGO, California, 92112
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

SARA JACOBS HOUSE VICTORY FUNDC00831479 Joint fundraising participantSARA JACOBS FOR CONGRESSC00719559
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1676810Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
SARA JACOBS FOR CONGRESSC00719559 Authorized candidateJACOBS, SARAH8CA49074
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
SARA JACOBS FOR CONGRESSC00719559 Connected organizationSARA JACOBS HOUSE VICTORY FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
PAC FOR GOODC00768887 Leadership PAC sponsorJACOBS, SARAH8CA49074
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1789245Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $9,730
Debts owed by committees: $350,000
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash70244549982c92ddbdf900870c8b8c7e2d2f4397237183a3b83a328de3e5aada

View official FEC record

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$5,295	$0
Feb 25	$9,246	$0
Mar 25	$11,970	$0
Apr 25	$23,066	$0
May 25	$8,170	$0
Jun 25	$298,923	$50,000
Jul 25	$10,495	$0
Aug 25	$45,846	$0
Sep 25	$18,243	$40,000
Oct 25	$6,950	$1,000
Nov 25	$6,320	$15,000
Dec 25	$284,916	$40,500
Jan 26	$9,361	$0
Feb 26	$35,347	$0
Mar 26	$446,298	$373,000
Apr 26	$21,693	$10,000
May 26	$11,798	$0
Jun 26	$20,118	$250

JACOBS, SARA

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast