BUCK, CARRIE

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Nevada · District 1 · Election 2026 · ChallengerH6NV01331

Overview

Raised: $2.6M
Spent: $2.4M
Cash on hand: $184.3K
Debts owed: $23.1K

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 1%
Rating: Safe D
Predicted margin: D+9.7

VotePredictor gives Carrie Buck a 1% chance of winning as of November 13, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Carrie Buck’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	10%
Oct 1, 2026	10%
Oct 6, 2026	10%
Oct 10, 2026	9%
Oct 16, 2026	9%
Oct 24, 2026	8%
Oct 25, 2026	4%
Oct 26, 2026	1%
Nov 13, 2026	1%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

3 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 3 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $284,358
TARGETED VICTORY LLC received 79.5% of positive itemized operating spending in CARRIE BUCK FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Mar 10, 2026
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $176,787
TARGETED VICTORY LLC received 59.9% of positive itemized operating spending in CARRIE BUCK FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Jun 15, 2026
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $142,794
TARGETED VICTORY LLC received 77.8% of positive itemized operating spending in CARRIE BUCK FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Dec 11, 2025

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 3 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Nevada · District 1
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: CARRIE BUCK FOR CONGRESS (C00914804)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Carrie Buck? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$1.1M
Unitemized individual contributions$693.4K
Other committees$223.3K
Transfers from affiliates$615.4K
Candidate contributions$3,732
Other receipts$0

Top contributors

GROW THE MAJORITY99% Republican-aligned activity · 0% unclassifiedInferred from activity$218.8K5 contributions
CARRIE BUCK FOR CONGRESS-GTM NOMINEE FUND: NV-01RepublicanFEC reported$109K1 contribution

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$2.3M
Contribution refunds$25.1K
Other disbursements$3,000

Largest operating payments

TARGETED VICTORY LLC$128.6KDIGITAL FUNDRAISING SERVICES · Jan 8, 2026
TARGETED VICTORY LLC$102.5KDIGITAL FUNDRAISING SERVICES · Jun 15, 2026
TARGETED VICTORY LLC$85.1KDIGITAL FUNDRAISING COSTS · Nov 19, 2025
ARENA MAIL & DIGITAL$78.8KPRINTING & MAILING COSTS · Jun 5, 2026
TARGETED VICTORY LLC$77.7KDIGITAL FUNDRAISING SERVICES · Mar 4, 2026
TARGETED VICTORY LLC$74.4KDIGITAL FUNDRAISING SERVICES · Apr 21, 2026
TARGETED VICTORY LLC$69.3KDIGITAL FUNDRAISING SERVICES · May 22, 2026
TARGETED VICTORY LLC$65.6KDIGITAL FUNDRAISING SERVICES · Feb 13, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Aug 25	$79,063	$0
Sep 25	$29,723	$0
Oct 25	$43,390	$0
Nov 25	$65,485	$0
Dec 25	$45,358	$500
Jan 26	$60,849	$0
Feb 26	$77,515	$0
Mar 26	$140,590	$0
Apr 26	$65,680	$2,500
May 26	$88,524	$0
Jun 26	$375,904	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Nevada · District 1
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026
Registered address: 35 E HORIZON RIDGE PKWY #110-206 · HENDERSON, Nevada, 89002
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

GROW THE MAJORITYC00858373 Joint fundraising participantCARRIE BUCK FOR CONGRESSC00914804
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 2004179Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
EMMER MAJORITY BUILDERSC00859058 Joint fundraising participantCARRIE BUCK FOR CONGRESSC00914804
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 2010377Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
GOP WINNING WOMEN 2026C00899633 Joint fundraising participantCARRIE BUCK FOR CONGRESSC00914804
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1957919Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
BUCK VICTORY FUNDC00948117 Joint fundraising participantCARRIE BUCK FOR CONGRESSC00914804
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1971020Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
MAGA MAJORITY FUNDC00951764 Joint fundraising participantCARRIE BUCK FOR CONGRESSC00914804
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 2007663Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
THE 218 FUNDC00963363 Joint fundraising participantCARRIE BUCK FOR CONGRESSC00914804
FEC reportedObserved: Oct 11, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion. Observed in the FEC API; the public FEC registration page is linked for inspection.
CARRIE BUCK FOR CONGRESSC00914804 Authorized candidateBUCK, CARRIEH6NV01331
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
CARRIE BUCK FOR CONGRESS-GTM NOMINEE FUND: NV-01C00919456 Authorized candidateBUCK, CARRIEH6NV01331
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
CARRIE BUCK FOR CONGRESS - EMB NOMINEE FUND NV-01C00934802 Authorized candidateBUCK, CARRIEH6NV01331
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
CARRIE BUCK FOR CONGRESSC00914804 Connected organizationGOP WINNING WOMEN 2026Reported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $25,115
Debts owed by committees: $23,087
Last report: TERMINATION REPORT

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hashd2825233e462ccf4d16154a22fe2e0283b8786b365b8a0c3183e5812b6e7aaa3

View official FEC record

BUCK, CARRIE

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast