ADERHOLT, ROBERT B. REP.

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Alabama · District 4 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH6AL04098

Overview

Raised: $1.2Mvs $1.5M 2023–2024
Spent: $1.5Mvs $1.7M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $719.7Kvs $1M 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 99%
Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+60.2

VotePredictor gives Robert Aderholt a 99% chance of winning as of October 30, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Robert Aderholt’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Oct 30, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

1 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $42,006
AMERICAN EXPRESS received 56.8% of positive itemized operating spending in ROBERT ADERHOLT FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Mar 3, 2025

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 1 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Alabama · District 4
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: ROBERT ADERHOLT FOR CONGRESS (C00313247)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Robert Aderholt? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$608.7K
Unitemized individual contributions$16.7K
Other committees$465.5K
Party committees$610
Other receipts$59.3K

Top contributors

ADERHOLT MAJORITY FUNDRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$64.6K2 contributions
ADERHOLT MAJORITY FUNDRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$23.2K2 contributions
THORNTON, STEVEN L.

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1.1M
Contribution refunds$19.6K
Other disbursements$389.7K

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEMixed activity · 46% Democratic / 54% RepublicanInferred from activity$610

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

ONMESSAGE INC.$83.9KMEDIA · May 5, 2026
ONMESSAGE INC.$52.5KMEDIA · Jul 31, 2025
ALPINE ADVERTISING AGENCY INC$30KMEDIA · Apr 7, 2026
MCLAUGHLIN & ASSOCIATES$28KSURVEY RESEARCH · Apr 22, 2026
LAMAR$26.3KMEDIA · Mar 9, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Feb 25	$5,500	$0
Mar 25	$5,000	$40,000
Apr 25	$4,500	$28,000
May 25	$8,750	$0
Jun 25	$53,920	$25,300
Jul 25	$39,620	$0
Aug 25	$8,595	$7,500
Sep 25	$112,095	-$8,200
Oct 25	$11,525	$4,000
Nov 25	$2,525	$5,000
Dec 25	$42,192	-$5,200
Jan 26	$54,335	$0
Feb 26	$13,261	$200,000
Mar 26	$13,275	$50,000
Apr 26	$15,525	$0
May 26	$121,125	$0
Jun 26	$10,775	$5,868

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Alabama · District 4
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: PO BOX 1158 · HALEYVILLE, Alabama, 35565-1158
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

ADERHOLT MAJORITY FUNDC00776187 Joint fundraising participantROBERT ADERHOLT FOR CONGRESSC00313247
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1877009Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
ROBERT ADERHOLT FOR CONGRESSC00313247 Authorized candidateADERHOLT, ROBERT B. REP.H6AL04098
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
ROBERT ADERHOLT FOR CONGRESSC00313247 Connected organizationADERHOLT MAJORITY FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
REACHING FOR A BRIGHTER AMERICA PACC00487942 Leadership PAC sponsorADERHOLT, ROBERT B. REP.H6AL04098
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1512245Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $19,628
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash689306dec60f6407daf2604faaaffc5d965419331dcfaac1ba83501e85002b76

View official FEC record

ADERHOLT, ROBERT B. REP.

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast