VINDMAN, ALEXANDER

DemocraticFEC reportedDemocratic candidate · U.S. Senate · Florida · Statewide · Election 2026 · ChallengerS6FL00855

Overview

Raised: $20.5M
Spent: $16.4M
Cash on hand: $4.1M
Debts owed: $0

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Sep 30, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+9.4

VotePredictor forecasts this race between Angie Nixon (D) and Ashley Moody (R) as of November 2, 2026, giving the Republican a 99% chance. Alex Vindman is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. Based on 13 polls of the race, blended with its fundamentals.

The Democrat’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Jun 24, 2026	19%
Jun 25, 2026	19%
Jul 1, 2026	21%
Jul 8, 2026	23%
Jul 10, 2026	21%
Jul 21, 2026	13%
Sep 28, 2026	1%
Sep 29, 2026	2%
Oct 1, 2026	2%
Oct 6, 2026	2%
Oct 9, 2026	2%
Oct 10, 2026	1%
Oct 16, 2026	1%
Nov 2, 2026	1%

As VotePredictor published it each day since June 24, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

8 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

5 receipt eligibility · 3 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $3,362,159
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC received 61.4% of positive itemized operating spending in ALEX VINDMAN FOR FLORIDA's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Jun 9, 2026
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $1,039,203
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC received 60.5% of positive itemized operating spending in ALEX VINDMAN FOR FLORIDA's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Mar 4, 2026
Foreign-address eligibility →Associated amount: $3,500
The filing uses FEC foreign-address code ZZ. A foreign address does not establish foreign-national status; verify eligibility without inferring citizenship from geography.
Evidence date: Mar 12, 2026
Foreign-address eligibility →Associated amount: $3,500

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. Senate · Florida · Statewide
Reported party: Democratic
Election year: 2026
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: ALEX VINDMAN FOR FLORIDA (C00936559)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Alex Vindman? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$6.5M
Unitemized individual contributions$10.9M
Other committees$217.1K
Party committees$55
Transfers from affiliates$2.9M
Candidate contributions$20
Other receipts$15.5K

Top contributors

ALEX VINDMAN VICTORY FUNDDemocraticInferred from FEC-reported participants$2.8M3 contributions
PAPPAS, PELTOLA, TALARICO, VINDMAN SENATE VICTORY FUND

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$12.6M
Contribution refunds$1.2M
Other disbursements$1.2M

Largest operating payments

AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC$849.9KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Feb 6, 2026
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC$758.3KMEDIA ADVERTISING · Jun 9, 2026
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC$700KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · May 11, 2026
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC$529.4KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Apr 29, 2026
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC$500KLIST ACQUISITION · Apr 9, 2026
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC$399.7KMEDIA ADVERTISING · Jul 9, 2026
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC$299.6KTEXT MESSAGING SERVICES · Apr 9, 2026
ADMIRE MEDIA, LLC$250KMEDIA ADVERTISING · Jul 23, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 26	$922,908	$0
Feb 26	$723,637

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. Senate
State / district: Florida · Statewide
Party affiliation: Democratic
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026
Registered address: PO BOX 26430 · TEMPE, Arizona, 85285
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

VINDMAN SQUARED 2026C00941930 Joint fundraising participantALEX VINDMAN FOR FLORIDAC00936559
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1951642Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
ALEX VINDMAN VICTORY FUNDC00947580 Joint fundraising participantALEX VINDMAN FOR FLORIDAC00936559
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1968773Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
PAPPAS, PELTOLA, TALARICO, VINDMAN SENATE VICTORY FUNDC00949933 Joint fundraising participantALEX VINDMAN FOR FLORIDAC00936559
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1973500Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
ALEX VINDMAN FOR FLORIDAC00936559 Authorized candidateVINDMAN, ALEXANDERS6FL00855
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
ALEX VINDMAN FOR FLORIDAC00936559 Connected organizationBLUE SENATE CANDIDATE FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2026 to Sep 30, 2026
Contribution refunds: $1,199,810
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hashf1fa206120d2aec76da53021772511471efc129c989ab1114f4419412fe20da1

View official FEC record

VINDMAN, ALEXANDER

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast