MULLIN, MARKWAYNE

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. Senate · Oklahoma · Statewide · Election 2026 · IncumbentS2OK00186

Overview

Raised: $4.8Mvs $1.7M 2023–2024
Spent: $3.6Mvs $1.5M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $1.3Mvs $183K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $25.4Kvs $430.3K 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Sep 30, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+19.8

VotePredictor forecasts this race as of November 8, 2026, giving the Republican a 97% chance. Markwayne Mullin is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. No polls of the race: based on the state's lean, incumbency and the national environment.

The Republican’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Aug 23, 2026	96%
Oct 28, 2026	99%
Oct 29, 2026	97%
Nov 2, 2026	97%

As VotePredictor published it each day since August 23, 2026.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

2 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 2 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $29,603
BB&T/TRUIST CREDIT CARD received 52.6% of positive itemized operating spending in MULLIN FOR AMERICA's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Mar 10, 2026
Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 1 notice(s) to MULLIN FOR AMERICA about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-03-31, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Mar 31, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 2 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. Senate · Oklahoma · Statewide
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: MULLIN FOR AMERICA (C00498345)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Markwayne Mullin? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$1.3M
Unitemized individual contributions$79.3K
Other committees$1.7M
Party committees$62K
Transfers from affiliates$1.7M

Top contributors

MULLIN VICTORY FUNDRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$460.8K6 contributions
HOLD THE SENATERepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$285.3K4 contributions

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1.7M
Loan repayments$1M
Contribution refunds$883.1K
Other disbursements$13.8K

Largest operating payments

MULLIN, MARKWAYNE MR.$271KSep 9, 2025
MULLIN, MARKWAYNE MR.$133.9KDec 31, 2025
GRAND VALLEY CONSULTING, LLC$76.8KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING/TRAVEL/SHIPPING/CATERING · Aug 21, 2025
GRAND VALLEY CONSULTING, LLC$38.9KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING/POSTAGE/TRAVEL · Jun 2, 2026
GRAND VALLEY CONSULTING, LLC$38.2KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING/TRAVEL/SHIPPING/SITE RENTAL · May 6, 2025
SOUTHERN PLAINS ADVOCACY$31.8KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING · May 26, 2026
GRAND VALLEY CONSULTING, LLC$29KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING/TRAVEL/CATERING · Feb 14, 2025

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$33,103	$0
Feb 25	$47,323	$0
Mar 25	$125,681	$0
Apr 25	$62,459	$0
May 25	$137,103	$500
Jun 25	$749,654	$6,000
Jul 25	$51,056	$0
Aug 25	$17,666	$0
Sep 25	$66,181	$271,000
Oct 25	$9,037	$0
Nov 25	$29,519	$0
Dec 25	$547,749	$133,850
Jan 26	$34,938	$0
Feb 26	$18,064	$0
Mar 26	$42,894	$0
May 26	$0	$362,222

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. Senate
State / district: Oklahoma · Statewide
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: RT 1 BOX 8255 · WESTVILLE, Oklahoma, 74965
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

MULLIN VICTORY FUNDC00577361 Joint fundraising participantMULLIN FOR AMERICAC00498345
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1708747Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
OKLAHOMA STRONGC00827915 Joint fundraising participantMULLIN FOR AMERICAC00498345
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1659131Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
NORTHEAST SENATE VICTORY COMMITTEEC00897272 Joint fundraising participantMULLIN FOR AMERICAC00498345
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1874622Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
BRITT SENATE VICTORYC00900472 Joint fundraising participantMULLIN FOR AMERICAC00498345
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1882340Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
2025 SENATORS CLASSIC COMMITTEEC00901322 Joint fundraising participantMULLIN FOR AMERICAC00498345
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1883728Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
HOLD THE SENATEC00916643 Joint fundraising participantMULLIN FOR AMERICAC00498345
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1912035Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
MULLIN FOR AMERICAC00498345 Authorized candidateMULLIN, MARKWAYNES2OK00186
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
MULLIN FOR AMERICAC00498345 Authorized candidateMULLIN, MARKWAYNE MR.H2OK02083
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate master: reported principal campaign committee (CAND_PCC). The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
MULLIN FOR AMERICAC00498345 Connected organizationMULLIN VICTORY FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
BOOTS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEC00567545 Leadership PAC sponsorMULLIN, MARKWAYNES2OK00186
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1942750Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2023 to Sep 30, 2026
Contribution refunds: $883,127
Debts owed by committees: $25,400
Last report: YEAR-END

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash40fba8e6b9a784acdb5f24cf8f42e8cb961f14eb1a3cc6838177bbb007c9e94b

View official FEC record

MULLIN, MARKWAYNE

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Race forecast

Money network