ROY, CHIP

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Texas · District 21 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH8TX21307

Overview

Raised: $783.2Kvs $2.9M 2023–2024
Spent: $2.9Mvs $1.9M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $193.7Kvs $2.3M 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Sep 30, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+15.4

VotePredictor forecasts this race between Kristin Hook (D) and Mark Teixeira (R) as of October 30, 2026, giving the Republican a 99% chance. Chip Roy is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

The Republican’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	98%
Oct 1, 2026	98%
Oct 6, 2026	98%
Oct 10, 2026	98%
Oct 16, 2026	98%
Oct 24, 2026	98%
Oct 25, 2026	98%
Oct 26, 2026	99%
Oct 30, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

1 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 0 integrity · 1 fundraising patterns

Fundraising pattern for review →Cluster total: $38,400
Multiple reported donors associated with the same normalized employer gave to this recipient on one date. Repeated amounts and concentration within the loaded cycle warrant a review of possible fundraising activity. The pattern does not establish a bundler, coordination or wrongdoing.
Evidence date: Mar 19, 2025

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 1 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Texas · District 21
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: CHIP ROY FOR CONGRESS (C00662767)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Chip Roy? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$262.2K
Unitemized individual contributions$221.7K
Other committees$61K
Other receipts$291

Top contributors

CHIP ROY VICTORY FUNDRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$233.5K5 contributions
SAULSBURY, CHARLES R. SR.RepublicanDerived from contributions$5,8001 contribution
SAULSBURY, JILL A.

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$636K
Contribution refunds$113.9K
Other disbursements$2.1M

Largest operating payments

J2 STRATEGIES$15KPOLITICAL STRATEGY CONSULTING · Aug 5, 2025
HSP DIRECT$14.8KPRINTING/POSTAGE · Sep 5, 2025
HSP DIRECT$12.2KPOSTAGE/PRINTING · Jul 31, 2025
THE LAUDERBACK GROUP$5,670FINANCE CONSULTING · Jul 18, 2025
CONSERVATIVE PARTNERSHIP CENTER$5,000REGISTRATION FEE · May 5, 2026
HANCOCK, SABRINA$2,500POLITICAL STRATEGY CONSULTING · Jul 31, 2025
ROY, CHIP$2,379TRAVEL · Jun 2, 2025
FLETCHER, JOHN$2,000POLITICAL STRATEGY CONSULTING · Jul 28, 2025
HSP DIRECT

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Texas · District 21
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: 6705 W. HWY 290 · SUITE 50295 · AUSTIN, Texas, 78735
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

CHIP ROY VICTORY FUNDC00839738 Joint fundraising participantCHIP ROY FOR CONGRESSC00662767
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1703155Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
CHIP ROY FOR CONGRESSC00662767 Authorized candidateROY, CHIPH8TX21307
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
CHIP ROY FOR CONGRESSC00662767 Connected organizationTAKE BACK THE HOUSE 2022Reported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
COME AND TAKE IT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEC00693895 Leadership PAC sponsorROY, CHIPH8TX21307
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1703196Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Sep 30, 2026
Contribution refunds: $113,925
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash931d7690acd3727b595cf7e0207bd8d2c5bf24119c1a7dc594ca945db19df393

View official FEC record

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$9,201	$0
Feb 25	$29,644	$0
Mar 25	$214,781	$0
Apr 25	$29,053	$0
May 25	$28,363	$0
Jun 25	$155,652	$0
Jul 25	$15,860	$0
Aug 25	$14,574	-$2,500
Sep 25	-$2,158	$0
Jan 12	$375	$0

ROY, CHIP

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast