HERN, KEVIN

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Oklahoma · District 1 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH8OK01157

Overview

Raised: $2.5Mvs $2.7M 2023–2024
Spent: $3.7Mvs $2.3M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $0vs $1.1M 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Sep 30, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+15.3

VotePredictor forecasts this race between John Croisant (D) and Mark Tedford (R) as of November 10, 2026, giving the Republican a 99% chance. Kevin Hern is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

The Republican’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Oct 9, 2026	98%
Oct 10, 2026	98%
Oct 16, 2026	98%
Oct 24, 2026	97%
Oct 25, 2026	98%
Oct 26, 2026	99%
Nov 10, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

2 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

1 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

LLC or partnership eligibility →Associated amount: $250
Reported contributor appears to be an LLC or partnership. Verify permissible tax status, written eligibility notice, member or partner attribution, and contribution limits.
Evidence date: Mar 6, 2026
Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 3 notice(s) to HERN FOR CONGRESS about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-08-23, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Aug 23, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 2 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Oklahoma · District 1
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: HERN FOR CONGRESS (C00636092)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Kevin Hern? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$490K
Unitemized individual contributions$24.5K
Other committees$1.2M
Transfers from affiliates$813K
Other receipts$28.6K

Top contributors

HOUSE CONSERVATIVE VICTORY FUNDRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$343.9K4 contributions
HERN VICTORY FUNDRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$234.6K5 contributions

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$879.9K
Contribution refunds$23.6K
Other disbursements$360.1K

Largest operating payments

814 CONSULTING$86.4KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING · Mar 18, 2026
THE VOYAGEUR COMPANY$37.9KMAIL SERVICES · Feb 2, 2026
814 CONSULTING$26.2KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING · Apr 23, 2025
AXCAPITAL$18.9KREIMBURSEMENT FOR LEGAL FEES · Dec 10, 2025
THE VOYAGEUR COMPANY$18.5KFUNDRAISING SERVICES · Jun 18, 2025
814 CONSULTING$17.7KFUNDRAISING SERVICES · Aug 20, 2025
AX CAPITAL$16.7KACCOUNTING & COMPLIANCE · Feb 18, 2025
814 CONSULTING$16.5KFUNDRAISING SERVICES · Mar 17, 2025
THE VOYAGEUR COMPANY

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Oklahoma · District 1
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: 9521-B RIVERSIDE PKWY · #350 · TULSA, Oklahoma, 74137
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

LEAN FORWARD AMERICAC00930396 Joint fundraising participantHERN FOR CONGRESSC00636092
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1930604Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
HERN FOR CONGRESSC00636092 Authorized candidateHERN, KEVINH8OK01157
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
HERN FOR CONGRESSC00636092 Connected organizationHERN VICTORY FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
HELP ELECT REPUBLICANS NOWC00692715 Leadership PAC sponsorHERN, KEVINH8OK01157
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1971181Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Sep 30, 2026
Contribution refunds: $23,621
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash8f83b32a494b66fd7fd030e13a9ec134575e8042bfee47bdcc178bfc6227fabc

View official FEC record

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$6,793	$0
Feb 25	$30,635	$0
Mar 25	$282,837	$100,000
Apr 25	$25,191	$0
May 25	$11,725	$0
Jun 25	$147,615	$0
Jul 25	$31,691	$0
Aug 25	$31,595	$0
Sep 25	$278,632	$15,468
Oct 25	$30,690	$0
Nov 25	$48,453	$0
Dec 25	$50,326	$2,000
Jan 26	$5,392	$0
Feb 26	$27,518	$250,000
Mar 26	$286,631	$2,187,722
Apr 26	$0	$198,000
Jun 26	$0	$9,637

HERN, KEVIN

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast