OMAR, ILHAN

DemocraticFEC reportedNo party reported (DFL) candidate · U.S. House · Minnesota · District 5 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH8MN05239

Overview

Raised: $8.2Mvs $8.3M 2023–2024
Spent: $5.6Mvs $8.1M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $3Mvs $324.2K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 99%
Rating: Safe D
Predicted margin: D+65.4

VotePredictor gives Ilhan Omar a 99% chance of winning as of November 2, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Ilhan Omar’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Nov 2, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

3 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 3 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $971,007
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC received 64.6% of positive itemized operating spending in ILHAN FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Mar 12, 2026
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $330,601
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC received 53.1% of positive itemized operating spending in ILHAN FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Mar 11, 2025
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $329,072
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC received 54.3% of positive itemized operating spending in ILHAN FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Dec 19, 2025

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 3 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Minnesota · District 5
Reported party: No party reported (DFL)
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: ILHAN FOR CONGRESS (C00680934)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Ilhan Omar? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$2.5M
Unitemized individual contributions$5.4M
Other committees$104.8K
Other receipts$3,177

Top contributors

THE SQUAD VICTORY FUNDDemocraticInferred from FEC-reported participants$111K7 contributions
THE EMPOWERMENT FUNDDemocraticInferred from FEC-reported participants$78K4 contributions
GUPTA, DEEPALI

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$5.3M
Contribution refunds$35.6K
Other disbursements$230K

Largest operating payments

AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC$100KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Feb 18, 2026
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC$100KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Feb 18, 2026
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC$100KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Feb 5, 2026
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC$100KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Jan 29, 2026
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC$100KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Dec 9, 2025
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC$99.4KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Mar 12, 2026
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC$89.8KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Apr 7, 2025
AISLE 518 STRATEGIES LLC$75KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Feb 18, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$44,151	$0
Feb 25	$53,348	$5,000
Mar 25	$151,581	$0
Apr 25	$71,147	$9,000
May 25	$80,024	$600
Jun 25	$71,120	$0
Jul 25	$79,930	$500
Aug 25	$36,672	$2,000
Sep 25	$137,375	$0
Oct 25	$140,377	$100
Nov 25	$115,577	$0
Dec 25	$185,963	$0
Jan 26	$273,966	$0
Feb 26	$119,739	$0
Mar 26	$150,853	$0
Apr 26	$112,833	$212
May 26	$71,532	$0
Jun 26	$101,545	$2,500
Jul 26	$45,162	$100,000

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Minnesota · District 5
Party affiliation: No party reported (DFL)
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: PO BOX 33079 · WASHINGTON, District of Columbia, 20033
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

THE EMPOWERMENT FUNDC00719062 Joint fundraising participantILHAN FOR CONGRESSC00680934
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1897042Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
THE SQUAD VICTORY FUNDC00750166 Joint fundraising participantILHAN FOR CONGRESSC00680934
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1882424Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
ILHAN FOR CONGRESSC00680934 Authorized candidateOMAR, ILHANH8MN05239
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
ILHAN FOR CONGRESSC00680934 Connected organizationTHE EMPOWERMENT FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
INSPIRING LEADERSHIP HAS A NAME PACC00688846 Leadership PAC sponsorOMAR, ILHANH8MN05239
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1810417Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $35,615
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash9dde26d08b1d7038b9a727f9677f3df228f3ed6c952d847116b5512a3317e169

View official FEC record

OMAR, ILHAN

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast