MCCLINTOCK, THOMAS

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · California · District 5 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH8CA04152

Overview

Raised: $1.3Mvs $1.2M 2023–2024
Spent: $1.1Mvs $1.2M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $314.1Kvs $148.2K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $13.8Kvs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 99%
Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+16.4

VotePredictor gives Thomas McClintock a 99% chance of winning as of October 30, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Thomas McClintock’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Oct 1, 2026	99%
Oct 6, 2026	99%
Oct 10, 2026	99%
Oct 16, 2026	99%
Oct 24, 2026	98%
Oct 25, 2026	99%
Oct 26, 2026	99%
Oct 30, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

3 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

2 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

LLC or partnership eligibility →Associated amount: $2,000
Reported contributor appears to be an LLC or partnership. Verify permissible tax status, written eligibility notice, member or partner attribution, and contribution limits.
Evidence date: Mar 27, 2026
LLC or partnership eligibility →Associated amount: $1,500
Reported contributor appears to be an LLC or partnership. Verify permissible tax status, written eligibility notice, member or partner attribution, and contribution limits.
Evidence date: Mar 10, 2026
Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 3 notice(s) to MCCLINTOCK FOR CONGRESS about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-08-12, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Aug 12, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 3 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · California · District 5
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: MCCLINTOCK FOR CONGRESS (C00446815)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Thomas McClintock? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$923.1K
Unitemized individual contributions$133K
Other committees$195.9K

Top contributors

BLOOM, LOIS MRS.RepublicanDerived from contributions$7,0002 contributions
BLOOM, RONALD MR.RepublicanDerived from contributions$7,0002 contributions
BURKE, CINDY MRS.RepublicanDerived from contributions$7,0002 contributions

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1M
Contribution refunds$448
Other disbursements$45.6K

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

CLUB FOR GROWTH PACRepublican-aligned activityInferred from activity$300

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

TRAILHEAD STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS$38.5KMASS MAIL · Apr 25, 2025
TRAILHEAD STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS$38.5KMASS MAIL · Jul 8, 2025
TRAILHEAD STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS$23.5KMASS MAIL · Oct 22, 2025
HARPER POLLING, LLC$20.4KPOLLING · Feb 10, 2026
CHASE CARD SERVICES$13.2KFUNDRAISING EVENT (9/6/25) · Sep 8, 2025

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$650	$0
Feb 25	$30,000	$0
Mar 25	$34,150	$0
Apr 25	$21,750	$0
May 25	$22,900	$0
Jun 25	$21,250	$0
Jul 25	$30,313	$0
Aug 25	$87,940	$0
Sep 25	$61,375	$0
Oct 25	$26,975	$4,000
Nov 25	$25,080	$0
Dec 25	$17,552	$564
Jan 26	$12,775	$0
Feb 26	$68,781	$0
Mar 26	$60,123	$2,000
Apr 26	$43,150	$0
May 26	$37,620	$0
Jun 26	$51,057	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: California · District 5
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: 4364 TOWN CENTER BLVD. #213 · EL DORADO HILLS, California, 95762
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

MCCLINTOCK JFCC00817098 Joint fundraising participantMCCLINTOCK FOR CONGRESSC00446815
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1904957Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
MCCLINTOCK SCHWEIKERT JFC IIC00847566 Joint fundraising participantMCCLINTOCK FOR CONGRESSC00446815
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1863395Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
MCCLINTOCK FOR CONGRESSC00446815 Authorized candidateMCCLINTOCK, THOMASH8CA04152
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
MCCLINTOCK FOR CONGRESSC00446815 Connected organizationMCCLINTOCK JFCReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
TAKING OUR MAJORITY PACC00461137 Leadership PAC sponsorMCCLINTOCK, THOMASH8CA04152
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1897894Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $448
Debts owed by committees: $13,797
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hashfbe631cc902a082ed48fae01c56a290818b6d0dbbe5a3221f1bfdca08c157b97

View official FEC record

MCCLINTOCK, THOMAS

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Race forecast

Money network