THOMPSON, MIKE MR.

DemocraticFEC reportedDemocratic candidate · U.S. House · California · District 4 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH8CA01109

Overview

Raised: $5.5Mvs $2.4M 2023–2024
Spent: $5.3Mvs $2.9M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $1.4Mvs $1.2M 2023–2024
Debts owed: $15.5Kvs $36K 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe D
Predicted margin: D+22.1

VotePredictor forecasts this race as of November 3, 2026, giving the Democrat a 99% chance. Mike Thompson is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

The Democrat’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Nov 3, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

4 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

3 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $1,006,529
BEACON MEDIA LLC received 73.4% of positive itemized operating spending in MIKE THOMPSON FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: May 29, 2026
LLC or partnership eligibility →Associated amount: $2,000
Reported contributor appears to be an LLC or partnership. Verify permissible tax status, written eligibility notice, member or partner attribution, and contribution limits.
Evidence date: Jun 4, 2026
LLC or partnership eligibility →Associated amount: $1,000
Reported contributor appears to be an LLC or partnership. Verify permissible tax status, written eligibility notice, member or partner attribution, and contribution limits.
Evidence date: May 25, 2026
LLC or partnership eligibility →Associated amount: $500
Reported contributor appears to be an LLC or partnership. Verify permissible tax status, written eligibility notice, member or partner attribution, and contribution limits.
Evidence date: Jun 2, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 4 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · California · District 4
Reported party: Democratic
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: MIKE THOMPSON FOR CONGRESS (C00326363)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Mike Thompson? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$2.7M
Unitemized individual contributions$225.8K
Other committees$2.4M
Party committees$8,803
Transfers from affiliates$43.3K
Other receipts$21.5K

Top contributors

BLUE DOG VICTORY FUND100% Democratic-aligned activity · 0% unclassifiedInferred from activity$43.3K5 contributions
WRIGHT, GREGORY A.DemocraticDerived from contributions$14.3K4 contributions

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$5M
Contribution refunds$59.3K
Other disbursements$221.1K

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

JSTREETPAC99% Democratic-aligned activity · 1% unclassifiedInferred from activity$3,500

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

BEACON MEDIA LLC$522.7KTV MEDIA BUY AND DIGITAL MEDIA · May 22, 2026
BEACON MEDIA LLC$335.1KTV MEDIA BUY AND DIGITAL MEDIA · May 15, 2026
BEACON MEDIA LLC$293.5KTV MEDIA BUY AND DIGITAL MEDIA · May 8, 2026
BEACON MEDIA LLC$266.8KTV MEDIA BUY AND DIGITAL MEDIA · May 1, 2026
BEACON MEDIA LLC$209.8KTV MEDIA BUY AND DIGITAL MEDIA · Apr 17, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$9,566	$150,000
Feb 25	$17,266	$3,020
Mar 25	$26,104	$1,000
Apr 25	$35,322	$0
May 25	$45,193	$1,000
Jun 25	$104,320	$0
Jul 25	$120,616	$1,000
Aug 25	$66,862	$1,250
Sep 25	$126,378	$2,000
Oct 25	$137,713	$0
Nov 25	$74,720	$0
Dec 25	$170,660	$2,000
Jan 26	$127,440	$70
Feb 26	$175,549	$1,500
Mar 26	$224,665	$0
Apr 26	$163,552	$1,500
May 26	$306,391	$1,500
Jun 26	$184,495	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: California · District 4
Party affiliation: Democratic
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: POST OFFICE BOX 10541 · NAPA, California, 94581
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

BLUE DOG VICTORY FUNDC00908640 Joint fundraising participantMIKE THOMPSON FOR CONGRESSC00326363
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1981525Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
MIKE THOMPSON FOR CONGRESSC00326363 Authorized candidateTHOMPSON, MIKE MR.H8CA01109
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
MIKE THOMPSON FOR CONGRESSC00326363 Connected organizationBLUE DOG VICTORY FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
VICTORY IN NOVEMBER ELECTION PACC00378695 Leadership PAC sponsorTHOMPSON, MIKE MR.H8CA01109
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1918127Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $59,265
Debts owed by committees: $15,495
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash23da2388ba630fb8ab2a0ed9d14669388a9b1a027827bc61e9659b54d8ec2cdd

View official FEC record

THOMPSON, MIKE MR.

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast