STANTON, GREG

DemocraticFEC reportedDemocratic candidate · U.S. House · Arizona · District 4 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH8AZ09040

Overview

Raised: $2.7Mvs $2.8M 2023–2024
Spent: $1.8Mvs $1.8M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $1.9Mvs $1M 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 99%
Rating: Safe D
Predicted margin: D+14.9

VotePredictor gives Greg Stanton a 99% chance of winning as of October 30, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Greg Stanton’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	97%
Oct 1, 2026	97%
Oct 6, 2026	97%
Oct 10, 2026	97%
Oct 16, 2026	98%
Oct 24, 2026	98%
Oct 25, 2026	98%
Oct 26, 2026	99%
Oct 30, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

2 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

1 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Apparent corporate or labor receipt →Associated amount: $1,000
Reported organization name appears incorporated, a bank, or a labor organization; direct treasury contributions to candidate committees are generally prohibited. Verify entity form and source of funds.
Evidence date: Jun 27, 2025
Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 1 notice(s) to STANTON FOR CONGRESS about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-07-14, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Jul 14, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 2 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Arizona · District 4
Reported party: Democratic
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: STANTON FOR CONGRESS (C00657304)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Greg Stanton? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$1.7M
Unitemized individual contributions$117.5K
Other committees$817.7K
Party committees$38
Transfers from affiliates$6,466

Top contributors

TAN, RONGCHANDemocraticDerived from contributions$15.1K10 contributions
ADAMS, KAREN L.DemocraticDerived from contributions$11.3K8 contributions
HIRSCH, JERRY

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1.3M
Contribution refunds$11.3K
Other disbursements$429.6K

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEMixed activity · 46% Democratic / 54% RepublicanInferred from activity$48.2K

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

RISING TIDE INTERACTIVE$75KMEDIA TIMEBUY · Jun 25, 2026
AMERICAN EXPRESS$16.2KCREDIT CARD PAYMENT; SEE BELOW · May 19, 2026
SPIROS CONSULTING$15KRESEARCH · Apr 21, 2026
AMERICAN EXPRESS$13.9KCREDIT CARD; SEE BELOW · Apr 13, 2026
AMERICAN EXPRESS$10.3KCREDIT CARD PAYMENT; SEE BELOW · Jun 15, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Arizona · District 4
Party affiliation: Democratic
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: 4340 E INDIAN SCHOOL ROAD · SUITE 21-518 · PHOENIX, Arizona, 85018
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

STANTON VICTORY FUNDC00685370 Joint fundraising participantSTANTON FOR CONGRESSC00657304
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1435214Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
STANTON ACTION FUNDC00956888 Joint fundraising participantSTANTON FOR CONGRESSC00657304
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1999080Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
STANTON FOR CONGRESSC00657304 Authorized candidateSTANTON, GREGH8AZ09040
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
STANTON FOR CONGRESSC00657304 Connected organizationSTANTON ACTION FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
GETTING RESULTS BY ENGAGING THE GRASSROOTS PACC00758862 Leadership PAC sponsorSTANTON, GREGH8AZ09040
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 2002898Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $11,302
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hashd36b6b9bb91c968c9eb652192d4106b943098c3dab0355d6e57dfbb1dc4f990c

View official FEC record

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$52,600	$25,000
Feb 25	$99,368	$0
Mar 25	$88,671	$10,000
Apr 25	$31,445	$0
May 25	$37,210	$41,000
Jun 25	$119,910	$6,000
Jul 25	$39,136	$0
Aug 25	$65,130	$0
Sep 25	$109,032	$30,500
Oct 25	$51,290	$4,000
Nov 25	$50,975	$2,000
Dec 25	$113,952	$65,000
Jan 26	$47,436	$0
Feb 26	$65,092	$50,000
Mar 26	$121,102	$0
Apr 26	$58,969	$10,000
May 26	$29,243	$0
Jun 26	$190,565	$0
Jul 26	$12,550	$0

STANTON, GREG

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast