ARAFAT, ADAM NEIL

DemocraticFEC reportedDemocratic candidate · U.S. House · Washington · District 10 · Election 2026 · ChallengerH6WA08134

Overview

Raised: $330
Spent: $0
Cash on hand: $330
Debts owed: $0

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Mar 31, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe D
Predicted margin: D+26.9

VotePredictor forecasts this race between Marilyn Strickland (D) and Chris Chung (R) as of November 11, 2026, giving the Democrat a 99% chance. Neil Arafat is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

The Democrat’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Nov 11, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review · No open linked indicators

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

No open indicators are linked in the published index. This is not a compliance clearance.

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Washington · District 10
Reported party: Democratic
Election year: 2026
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Not yet a statutory candidate
Principal campaign committee: ADAM NEIL ARAFAT FOR CONGRESS (C00914705)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Sources

Unitemized individual contributions$330

Sources are the candidate's reported totals by line; the lists rank the principal committee's itemized receipts of $200 or more and exclude memo entries.

Over time

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Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Washington · District 10
Party affiliation: Democratic
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Not yet a statutory candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026
Registered address: 2007 197TH ST CT E · SPANAWAY, Washington, 98387
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

ADAM NEIL ARAFAT FOR CONGRESSC00914705 Authorized candidateARAFAT, ADAM NEILH6WA08134
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

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Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2026 to Mar 31, 2026
Contribution refunds: $0
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: APRIL QUARTERLY

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hashf08ac692ed26fd7662510737ce2b79f9a0daf288322c97427bc9115038ee4a07

View official FEC record