ARRINGTON, JODEY

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Texas · District 19 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH6TX19099

Overview

Raised: $1.7Mvs $3.3M 2023–2024
Spent: $2.1Mvs $2.7M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $1.5Mvs $1.9M 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Sep 30, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+45.5

VotePredictor forecasts this race between Kyle Rable (D) and Tom Sell (R) as of October 30, 2026, giving the Republican a 99% chance. Jodey Arrington is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

The Republican’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Oct 30, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

1 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $58,807
CHASE CREDIT CARD received 52.9% of positive itemized operating spending in TEXANS FOR JODEY ARRINGTON's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Jun 1, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 1 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Texas · District 19
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: TEXANS FOR JODEY ARRINGTON (C00588657)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Jodey Arrington? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$227.8K
Unitemized individual contributions$14.5K
Other committees$622.5K
Other receipts$75.3K

Top contributors

ARRINGTON VICTORY COMMITTEERepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$768K6 contributions
HUNT, WOODY58% Democratic / 42% Republican · 0% unclassifiedDerived from contributions$10.5K3 contributions
MOSKOW, ERIC

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1.5M
Contribution refunds$295.9K
Other disbursements$339.3K

Largest operating payments

CHASE CREDIT CARD$45.3KCREDIT CARD PAYMENT: SEE ITEMIZATION BELOW · Feb 1, 2026
CHASE CREDIT CARD$38.1KCREDIT CARD PAYMENT: SEE ITEMIZATION BELOW · Jan 1, 2025
GRAND VALLEY CONSULTING LLC$37.3KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING · Feb 3, 2025
TEXAS TECH UNIVERSITY$37KEVENT SPONSORSHIP · Mar 24, 2026
GRAND VALLEY CONSULTING LLC$36.5KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING/EXPENSES · Jul 17, 2025
CHASE CREDIT CARD$33.7KCREDIT CARD PAYMENT: SEE ITEMIZATION BELOW · Aug 1, 2025
CHASE CREDIT CARD$31.9KCREDIT CARD PAYMENT: SEE ITEMIZATION BELOW · May 1, 2026
GRAND VALLEY CONSULTING LLC$29.6KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING/EXPENSES · Aug 25, 2025

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$12,854	$0
Feb 25	$38,354	$2,000
Mar 25	$452,893	$22,000
Apr 25	$37,665	$0
May 25	$18,900	$5,000
Jun 25	$375,988	$2,500
Jul 25	$2,377	$0
Aug 25	$4,255	$0
Sep 25	$38,208	$0
Oct 25	$2,312	$51,000
Nov 25	$1,000	$155,999
Dec 25	$0	$43,500
Jan 26	$0	$5,000
Feb 26	$0	$4,000
Mar 26	$0	$12,000
Apr 26	$0	$4,096
May 26	$0	$19,904
Jun 26	$0	$3,000

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Texas · District 19
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: PO BOX 6687 · LUBBOCK, Texas, 79493-6687
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

ARRINGTON VICTORY COMMITTEEC00680512 Joint fundraising participantTEXANS FOR JODEY ARRINGTONC00588657
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1692093Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
TEXANS FOR JODEY ARRINGTONC00588657 Authorized candidateARRINGTON, JODEYH6TX19099
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
TEXANS FOR JODEY ARRINGTONC00588657 Connected organizationARRINGTON VICTORY COMMITTEEReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
BULLDOG PACC00672733 Leadership PAC sponsorARRINGTON, JODEYH6TX19099
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1691870Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Sep 30, 2026
Contribution refunds: $295,874
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hashb3af0ab51ad59ffa5806a60c2e66f78cff9c0e41bfaa2d9fe3c83bff493ea158

View official FEC record

ARRINGTON, JODEY

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast