BONCK, JON

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Texas · District 38 · Election 2026 · Open seatH6TX02244

Overview

Raised: $2.2M
Spent: $2M
Cash on hand: $248.2K
Debts owed: $392.3K

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 99%
Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+14.6

VotePredictor gives Jon Bonck a 99% chance of winning as of November 13, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Jon Bonck’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Oct 1, 2026	99%
Oct 6, 2026	99%
Oct 9, 2026	98%
Oct 10, 2026	97%
Oct 16, 2026	97%
Oct 24, 2026	97%
Oct 25, 2026	97%
Oct 26, 2026	99%
Nov 13, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

2 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 2 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $172,755
PALADIN STRATEGIES LLC received 75.4% of positive itemized operating spending in JON BONCK FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Jun 2, 2026
Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 4 notice(s) to JON BONCK FOR CONGRESS about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-06-28, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Jun 28, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 2 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Texas · District 38
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: JON BONCK FOR CONGRESS (C00904151)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Jon Bonck? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$1.1M
Unitemized individual contributions$32.5K
Other committees$327.5K
Transfers from affiliates$201K
Candidate contributions$21.2K
Candidate loans$430K
Other loans$100K
Other receipts$4,131

Top contributors

BONCK, JON$351.2K3 contributions
JON BONCK VICTORY FUNDRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$199.7K5 contributions

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1.7M
Loan repayments$200K
Other disbursements$7,000

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEMixed activity · 46% Democratic / 54% RepublicanInferred from activity$500
CLUB FOR GROWTH PACRepublican-aligned activityInferred from activity$285

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

PALADIN STRATEGIES$108.8KPRINT AND TEXT MESSAGING · Feb 9, 2026
BONCK, JON$100KMay 28, 2026
PALADIN STRATEGIES$86.6KPRINT AND TEXT MESSAGING · Jan 27, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Apr 25	$35,000	$0
May 25	$213,407	$0
Jun 25	$207,833	$0
Jul 25	$17,632	$0
Aug 25	$18,396	$0
Sep 25	$1,016	$0
Oct 25	$44,247	$0
Nov 25	$63,746	$0
Dec 25	$411,943	$0
Jan 26	$11,865	$0
Feb 26	$21,551	$0
Mar 26	$265,823	$0
Apr 26	$29,460	$0
May 26	$69,111	$100,000
Jun 26	$13,229	$1,000

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Texas · District 38
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026
Registered address: 1415 S VOSS STE 110 - PMB 427 · HOUSTON, Texas, 77057
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

JON BONCK VICTORY FUNDC00953802 Joint fundraising participantJON BONCK FOR CONGRESSC00904151
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1983946Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
TEXAS ROUND UPC00956706 Joint fundraising participantJON BONCK FOR CONGRESSC00904151
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1998590Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
THE 218 FUNDC00963363 Joint fundraising participantJON BONCK FOR CONGRESSC00904151
FEC reportedObserved: Oct 11, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion. Observed in the FEC API; the public FEC registration page is linked for inspection.
JON BONCK FOR CONGRESSC00904151 Authorized candidateBONCK, JONH6TX02244
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
JON BONCK FOR CONGRESSC00904151 Connected organizationJON BONCK VICTORY FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
JOIN THE BATTLE PACC00953364 Leadership PAC sponsorBONCK, JONH6TX02244
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1982881Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Apr 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $0
Debts owed by committees: $392,330
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash39f58466dd8d881624241b3858b9cd16c89466108f7c888a88c8d9a01c43f5f6

View official FEC record

BONCK, JON

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast