BARNETT, MICHAELA

DemocraticFEC reportedDemocratic candidate · U.S. House · Tennessee · District 2 · Election 2026 · ChallengerH6TN02170

Overview

Raised: $717.8K
Spent: $587.6K
Cash on hand: $130.3K
Debts owed: $6,000

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 1%
Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+29.3

VotePredictor gives Michaela Barnett a 1% chance of winning as of November 14, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Michaela Barnett’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	1%
Nov 14, 2026	1%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

1 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $65,115
GUSTO INC received 69.7% of positive itemized operating spending in MICHAELA FOR TENNESSEE's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Mar 31, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 1 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Tennessee · District 2
Reported party: Democratic
Election year: 2026
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: MICHAELA FOR TENNESSEE (C00920520)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Michaela Barnett? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$457K
Unitemized individual contributions$245.2K
Other committees$2,600
Party committees$1,200
Candidate contributions$415
Candidate loans$6,000
Other receipts$4,102

Top contributors

BUSH, SUSANDemocraticDerived from contributions$7,7356 contributions
LAWSON, PHILLIPDemocraticDerived from contributions$7,0002 contributions

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$584.3K
Contribution refunds$405
Other disbursements$2,900

Largest operating payments

GUSTO INC$11.3KPAYROLL · Jul 17, 2026
GUSTO INC$10.6KPAYROLL · May 29, 2026
GUSTO INC$10.5KPAYROLL · Jun 17, 2026
GUSTO INC$10.5KPAYROLL · Jul 2, 2026
GUSTO INC$8,779PAYROLL · Apr 14, 2026
GUSTO INC$8,273PAYROLL · Apr 28, 2026
NGP VAN$7,669COMPLIANCE REPORTING SOFTWARE · Apr 10, 2026
GUSTO INC$7,363PAYROLL · Mar 31, 2026
GUSTO INC$7,328PAYROLL · Jan 29, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Sep 25	$16,050	$0
Oct 25	$5,546	$0
Nov 25	$2,920	$1,200
Dec 25	$17,955	$1,000
Jan 26	$18,295	$32
Feb 26	$13,193	$0
Mar 26	$25,195	$0
Apr 26	$34,506	$0
May 26	$24,609	$0
Jun 26	$47,085	$0
Jul 26	$26,594	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Tennessee · District 2
Party affiliation: Democratic
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026
Registered address: PO BOX 9116 · KNOXVILLE, Tennessee, 37940
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

MICHAELA FOR TENNESSEEC00920520 Authorized candidateBARNETT, MICHAELAH6TN02170
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jul 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $405
Debts owed by committees: $6,000
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash2c14800061e5d3bdaf3f35747ce5e418908ca7455aa61267f5d9579176aeed8a

View official FEC record

BARNETT, MICHAELA

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Race forecast

Money network