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New records for GRONLI, NICOLE.2025–2026 election cycle

Records from this candidate’s linked campaign committees.

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GRONLI, NICOLE

DemocraticFEC reportedDemocratic candidate · U.S. House · South Dakota · At-large · Election 2026 · Open seatH6SD01141

Overview

Raised: $421.8K
Spent: $399.3K
Cash on hand: $22.5K
Debts owed: $0

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 1%
Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+19.1

VotePredictor gives Nicole Gronli a 1% chance of winning as of October 31, 2026. Based on 2 polls of the race, blended with its fundamentals.

Nicole Gronli’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	1%
Oct 31, 2026	1%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review · No open linked indicators

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

No open indicators are linked in the published index. This is not a compliance clearance.

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · South Dakota · At-large
Reported party: Democratic
Election year: 2026
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: NIKKI G FOR SD (C00918961)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Nicole Gronli? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$252.3K
Unitemized individual contributions$142.2K
Other committees$17.8K
Party committees$6,593
Candidate contributions$1,500
Other receipts$1,370

Top contributors

HAGLUND, RANEEDemocraticDerived from contributions$5,8505 contributions
MERSCH, JANICEDemocraticDerived from contributions$5,33017 contributions

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$398.9K
Contribution refunds$363

Largest operating payments

LONGVIEW IMPACT, INC.$7,500CONSULTING / COMMUNICATIONS · Jun 1, 2026
LA HARRIS & ASSOCIATION$3,500CONSULTING / FUNDRAISING · May 21, 2026
LA HARRIS & ASSOCIATION$3,500CONSULTING / FUNDRAISING · Apr 27, 2026
LA HARRIS & ASSOCIATION$3,500CONSULTING / FUNDRAISING · Apr 8, 2026
LA HARRIS & ASSOCIATION$3,500CONSULTING / FUNDRAISING · Feb 24, 2026
LA HARRIS & ASSOCIATION$3,500CONSULTING / FUNDRAISING · Jan 16, 2026
LA HARRIS & ASSOCIATION$3,500CONSULTING / FUNDRAISING · Jan 5, 2026
LA HARRIS & ASSOCIATION$3,500CONSULTING / FUNDRAISING · Dec 3, 2025
LA HARRIS & ASSOCIATION$3,500CONSULTING / FUNDRAISING · Oct 27, 2025

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Aug 25	$1,000	$0
Sep 25	$15,050	$0
Oct 25	$9,900	$0
Nov 25	$16,250	$0
Dec 25	$19,300	$0
Jan 26	$11,685	$0
Feb 26	$15,407	$0
Mar 26	$26,700	$0
Apr 26	$11,005	$0
May 26	$11,441	$0
Jun 26	$21,100	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

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Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: South Dakota · At-large
Party affiliation: Democratic
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026
Registered address: 24620 479TH AVE · DELL RAPIDS, South Dakota, 57022
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

NIKKI G FOR SDC00918961 Authorized candidateGRONLI, NICOLEH6SD01141
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Aug 26, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $363
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash18d6027be4f8243821637769b704a7cdcd7cea719a3fc87e084be4a2ffba0e27

View official FEC record

GRONLI, NICOLE

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast