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New records for FORSTAG, SAMUEL KELLEY.2025–2026 election cycle

Records from this candidate’s linked campaign committees.

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FORSTAG, SAMUEL KELLEY

DemocraticFEC reportedDemocratic candidate · U.S. House · Montana · District 1 · Election 2026 · Open seatH6MT01137

Overview

Raised: $4.3M
Spent: $3.6M
Cash on hand: $726.1K
Debts owed: $0

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 46%
Rating: Toss-up
Predicted margin: R+0.6

VotePredictor gives Samuel Kelley Forstag a 46% chance of winning as of October 30, 2026. Based on 8 polls of the race, blended with its fundamentals.

Samuel Kelley Forstag’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	17%
Sep 29, 2026	20%
Oct 1, 2026	20%
Oct 6, 2026	21%
Oct 10, 2026	21%
Oct 16, 2026	22%
Oct 21, 2026	28%
Oct 22, 2026	39%
Oct 24, 2026	39%
Oct 25, 2026	40%
Oct 28, 2026	38%
Oct 30, 2026	46%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review · No open linked indicators

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

No open indicators are linked in the published index. This is not a compliance clearance.

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Montana · District 1
Reported party: Democratic
Election year: 2026
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: SAM FOR MONTANA (C00932822)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Samuel Kelley Forstag? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$2.3M
Unitemized individual contributions$1.2M
Other committees$400.1K
Party committees$1,700
Candidate contributions$1,347
Other receipts$8,380

Top contributors

HOUSE VICTORY PROJECT 2026DemocraticInferred from FEC-reported participants$330.6K2 contributions
FORSTAG VICTORY FUNDDemocraticInferred from FEC-reported participants$30.1K

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$3.4M
Contribution refunds$26.7K
Other disbursements$125.4K

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

JSTREETPAC99% Democratic-aligned activity · 1% unclassifiedInferred from activity$7,510
FAIR SHOT PACDemocraticLinked candidate$5,500

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

SB DIGITAL, INC.$43KTEXTING · Jan 28, 2026
GPS IMPACT$32.5KTV ADVERTISING · Apr 21, 2026
GPS IMPACT$32.5KTV ADVERTISING · May 11, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jul 25	$25	$0
Sep 25	$160	$0
Oct 25	$50	$0
Nov 25	$50	$0
Dec 25	$9,060	$0
Jan 26	$92,141	$0
Feb 26	$55,056	$0
Mar 26	$111,649	$0
Apr 26	$68,367	$0
May 26	$96,338	$0
Jun 26	$305,792	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Montana · District 1
Party affiliation: Democratic
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026
Registered address: PO BOX 7224 · MISSOULA, Montana, 59807
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

THE DEMOCRATIC BENCH FUNDC00942623 Joint fundraising participantSAM FOR MONTANAC00932822
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1952253Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
IMPOSSIBLE TO INEVITABLEC00944645 Joint fundraising participantSAM FOR MONTANAC00932822
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 2002653Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
BLUE COLLAR BRIGADEC00954164 Joint fundraising participantSAM FOR MONTANAC00932822
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1986285Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
FORSTAG VICTORY FUNDC00955039 Joint fundraising participantSAM FOR MONTANAC00932822
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1987289Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
CPC VICTORY FUNDC00957373 Joint fundraising participantSAM FOR MONTANAC00932822
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 2010084Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
SAM FOR MONTANAC00932822 Authorized candidateFORSTAG, SAMUEL KELLEYH6MT01137
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
SAM FOR MONTANAC00932822 Connected organizationTHE DEMOCRATIC BENCH FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2026 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $26,697
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash352805ca3c92c6dfebc9392c88950f7588fc41c500462481355fc2666b0ef7dc

View official FEC record

FORSTAG, SAMUEL KELLEY

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast