KELLY, JOHN TRENT

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Mississippi · District 1 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH6MS01131

Overview

Raised: $1.3Mvs $1.3M 2023–2024
Spent: $1.1Mvs $1M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $834.2Kvs $608.9K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 99%
Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+31.1

VotePredictor gives John Trent Kelly a 99% chance of winning as of November 4, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

John Trent Kelly’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Nov 4, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

1 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 1 notice(s) to KELLY FOR CONGRESS about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-06-30, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Jun 30, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 1 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Mississippi · District 1
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: KELLY FOR CONGRESS (C00573980)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding John Trent Kelly? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$613.5K
Unitemized individual contributions$17.7K
Other committees$674.6K
Transfers from affiliates$3,910
Other receipts$4,562

Top contributors

AMERICAN SECURITY PACRepublicanLinked candidate$7,5002 contributions
DREYFUS, BARRY TRepublicanDerived from contributions$7,0003 contributions
DREYFUS, DEBORAH

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1M
Contribution refunds$1,000
Other disbursements$5

Largest operating payments

NATIONAL REPUBLICAN CONGRESSIONAL COMMITTEE$63.2KDUES · Mar 17, 2026
NATIONAL REPUBLICAN CONGRESSIONAL COMMITTEE$30KDONATION · Sep 18, 2025
NATIONAL REPUBLICAN CONGRESSIONAL COMMITTEE$30KDUES · Jun 24, 2025
FUNDRAISING INC$17.4KCONSULTANT - FUNDRAISER · May 18, 2026
FIRST BANKCARD$17.3KCREDIT CARD PAYMENT · Feb 18, 2025
FUNDRAISING INC$13.9KCONSULTANT - FUNDRAISER · Oct 27, 2025
FUNDRAISING INC$13.8KCONSULTANT - FUNDRAISER · Dec 11, 2025
FIRST BANKCARD$12.8KCREDIT CARD PAYMENT · Feb 26, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Mississippi · District 1
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: 438 EAST MAIN STREET · TUPELO, Mississippi, 38804
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

KELLY JOINT FUNDRAISING COMMITTEEC00828384 Joint fundraising participantKELLY FOR CONGRESSC00573980
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1672300Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
SHORING UP REPUBLICAN FUTURES FUND (SURF FUND)C00953547 Joint fundraising participantKELLY FOR CONGRESSC00573980
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1983213Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
THE 218 FUNDC00963363 Joint fundraising participantKELLY FOR CONGRESSC00573980
FEC reportedObserved: Oct 11, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion. Observed in the FEC API; the public FEC registration page is linked for inspection.
KELLY FOR CONGRESSC00573980 Authorized candidateKELLY, JOHN TRENTH6MS01131
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
KELLY FOR CONGRESSC00573980 Connected organizationGT FARM TEAM 2022Reported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
SOUTHERN STATES PACC00778308 Leadership PAC sponsorKELLY, JOHN TRENTH6MS01131
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1514861Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $1,000
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash0ccd6575f4544c87a3d1b277f2e1c0c3163073b5cffe6a3b921a9ba64db14b99

View official FEC record

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$250	$0
Feb 25	$25,000	$0
Mar 25	$14,120	$40,000
Apr 25	$5,895	$0
May 25	$7,385	$0
Jun 25	$60,995	$0
Jul 25	$11,099	$0
Aug 25	$59,349	$0
Sep 25	$8,799	$0
Oct 25	$4,774	$0
Nov 25	$14,024	$0
Dec 25	$19,548	$0
Jan 26	$4,490	$0
Feb 26	$75,090	$0
Mar 26	$67,524	$0
Apr 26	$5,449	$0
May 26	$19,955	$0
Jun 26	$34,774	$0

KELLY, JOHN TRENT

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

FEC-reported relationships

Money network

Race forecast