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New records for NAGEL, JOHN.2025–2026 election cycle

Records from this candidate’s linked campaign committees.

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NAGEL, JOHN

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Minnesota · District 5 · Election 2026 · ChallengerH6MN05357

Overview

Raised: $1.1M
Spent: $1M
Cash on hand: $102.6K
Debts owed: $17.5K

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 1%
Rating: Safe D
Predicted margin: D+65.5

VotePredictor gives John Nagel a 1% chance of winning as of November 10, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

John Nagel’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	1%
Nov 10, 2026	1%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

4 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 4 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $254,351
DIRECT SUPPORT SERVICES received 64.3% of positive itemized operating spending in NAGEL FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Jun 25, 2026
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $138,927
DIRECT SUPPORT SERVICES received 57.0% of positive itemized operating spending in NAGEL FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Mar 12, 2026
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $37,673
DIRECT SUPPORT SERVICES received 67.8% of positive itemized operating spending in NAGEL FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Dec 16, 2025
Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 1 notice(s) to NAGEL FOR CONGRESS about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-06-11, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Jun 11, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 4 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Minnesota · District 5
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: NAGEL FOR CONGRESS (C00924639)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding John Nagel? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$354.7K
Unitemized individual contributions$771.2K
Other committees$263

Top contributors

CAILLOUX, KENNETHRepublicanDerived from contributions$8,2503 contributions
RETTERATH, MARIAN L MS83% RepublicanDerived from contributions$7,0003 contributions
TAYLOR, MARGARETTA J MISSRepublicanDerived from contributions$7,0002 contributions

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1M
Contribution refunds$1,951

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PACDemocratic-aligned activityInferred from activity$250

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

DIRECT SUPPORT SERVICES$78.1KPOSTAGE- MAIL PROGRAM · Jun 2, 2026
DIRECT SUPPORT SERVICES$69.3KPOSTAGE- MAIL PROGRAM · Apr 22, 2026
DIRECT SUPPORT SERVICES$44.3KPOSTAGE- MAIL PROGRAM · Mar 12, 2026
DIRECT SUPPORT SERVICES$40.4KPOSTAGE- MAIL PROGRAM · Feb 5, 2026
DIRECT SUPPORT SERVICES$39.7KPOSTAGE- MAIL PROGRAM · Jun 25, 2026
DIRECT SUPPORT SERVICES$28.3KPOSTAGE- MAIL PROGRAM · Apr 1, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

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Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Minnesota · District 5
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026
Registered address: 8014 OLSON MEMORIAL HWY · PMB 274 · GOLDEN VALLEY, Minnesota, 55427
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

NAGEL FOR CONGRESSC00924639 Authorized candidateNAGEL, JOHNH6MN05357
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Oct 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $1,951
Debts owed by committees: $17,525
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash8b289d11e61dca186bff2500fa1001db932c3681f9c11279ec4eaeb02ef3b376

View official FEC record

Month	Raised	Spent
Nov 25	$6,100	$0
Dec 25	$13,425	$0
Jan 26	$7,075	$0
Feb 26	$15,960	$0
Mar 26	$36,099	$0
Apr 26	$25,806	$0
May 26	$25,355	$0
Jun 26	$44,213	$0
Jul 26	$21,212	$0

NAGEL, JOHN

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Race forecast

Money network