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New records for BAKER, ETHAN D.2025–2026 election cycle

Records from this candidate’s linked campaign committees.

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BAKER, ETHAN D

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Michigan · District 11 · Election 2026 · Open seatH6MI11290

Overview

Raised: $204.7K
Spent: $149K
Cash on hand: $56.6K
Debts owed: $0

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 1%
Rating: Safe D
Predicted margin: D+22.8

VotePredictor gives Ethan D Baker a 1% chance of winning as of November 15, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Ethan D Baker’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	1%
Nov 15, 2026	1%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

3 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 3 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Repeated payments with limited purpose detail →Associated amount: $35,000
5 payments to WOODCREEK ENTERPRISES LLC use blank or generic purpose descriptions that merit context review.
Evidence date: Sep 22, 2026
Repeated payments with limited purpose detail →Associated amount: $13,500
3 payments to ETHAN LLOYD use blank or generic purpose descriptions that merit context review.
Evidence date: Sep 30, 2026
Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 1 notice(s) to BAKER FOR CONGRESS about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-10-07, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Oct 7, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 3 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Michigan · District 11
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: BAKER FOR CONGRESS (C00942508)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Ethan D Baker? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$192.6K
Unitemized individual contributions$11.1K
Other committees$1,000

Top contributors

FORBES, CATHERINERepublicanDerived from contributions$7,0002 contributions
FORBES, MADELINERepublicanDerived from contributions$7,0002 contributions
FORBES, NATHANRepublicanDerived from contributions$7,0002 contributions

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$148.6K
Contribution refunds$400

Largest operating payments

MAJORITY STRATEGIES$23KSep 11, 2026
MY CAMPAIGN STORE$11KJul 21, 2026
WOODCREEK ENTERPRISES LLC$7,000Oct 13, 2026
WOODCREEK ENTERPRISES LLC$7,000Sep 22, 2026
WOODCREEK ENTERPRISES LLC$7,000Sep 18, 2026
WOODCREEK ENTERPRISES LLC$7,000Aug 10, 2026
WOODCREEK ENTERPRISES LLC$7,000Jul 20, 2026
WOODCREEK ENTERPRISES LLC$7,000Jul 20, 2026
WOODCREEK ENTERPRISES LLC$7,000May 18, 2026
MITCHELL RESEARCH & COMMUNICATIONS$6,900

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Apr 26	$14,000	$0
May 26	$21,901	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

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Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Michigan · District 11
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026
Registered address: 801 W. BIG BEAVER ROAD · #300 · TROY, Michigan, 48084
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

BAKER FOR CONGRESSC00942508 Authorized candidateBAKER, ETHAN DH6MI11290
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Apr 1, 2026 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $400
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash4fb7760472ed5783b57152e9734ce9ddab08bd61083922e096be9e4670ccacd0

View official FEC record

BAKER, ETHAN D

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast