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New records for ALVARADO, RALPH A.2025–2026 election cycle

Records from this candidate’s linked campaign committees.

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ALVARADO, RALPH A

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Kentucky · District 6 · Election 2026 · Open seatH6KY06192

Overview

Raised: $2.3M
Spent: $2.1M
Cash on hand: $180.8K
Debts owed: $0

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 51%
Rating: Toss-up
Predicted margin: R+0.1

VotePredictor gives Ralph A Alvarado a 51% chance of winning as of October 30, 2026. Based on 5 polls of the race, blended with its fundamentals.

Ralph A Alvarado’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	93%
Oct 1, 2026	93%
Oct 6, 2026	93%
Oct 9, 2026	88%
Oct 10, 2026	76%
Oct 16, 2026	76%
Oct 21, 2026	62%
Oct 24, 2026	61%
Oct 25, 2026	61%
Oct 30, 2026	51%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

1 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

1 receipt eligibility · 0 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

LLC or partnership eligibility →Associated amount: $250
Reported contributor appears to be an LLC or partnership. Verify permissible tax status, written eligibility notice, member or partner attribution, and contribution limits.
Evidence date: Sep 29, 2025

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 1 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Kentucky · District 6
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: ALVARADO FOR KENTUCKY (C00912303)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Ralph A Alvarado? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$1.6M
Unitemized individual contributions$21.3K
Other committees$492.8K
Party committees$5,000
Other receipts$632

Top contributors

ALVARADO VICTORY COMMITTEERepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$142.9K3 contributions
ALVARADO, RALPH A$57.2K1 contribution
BUX, ANJUMRepublicanDerived from contributions$9,291

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$2.1M
Loan repayments$57.2K
Contribution refunds$13.9K
Other disbursements$429

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEMixed activity · 46% Democratic / 54% RepublicanInferred from activity$22.2K
NORPACMixed activity · 33% Democratic / 63% Republican · 2% unclassifiedInferred from activity$12K

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

STORYTELLERS GROUP LLC$102.8KDIRECT MAIL · May 8, 2026
ADVICTORY LLC$76.4KMEDIA BUY · Apr 1, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

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Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Kentucky · District 6
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026
Registered address: P.O. BOX 33 · WINCHESTER, Kentucky, 40392
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

ALVARADO VICTORY COMMITTEEC00955518 Joint fundraising participantALVARADO FOR KENTUCKYC00912303
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1988290Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
ADVANCE THE MAJORITY VICTORY COMMITTEEC00962183 Joint fundraising participantALVARADO FOR KENTUCKYC00912303
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 26, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion. Observed in the FEC API; the public FEC registration page is linked for inspection.
THE 218 FUNDC00963363 Joint fundraising participantALVARADO FOR KENTUCKYC00912303
FEC reportedObserved: Oct 11, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion. Observed in the FEC API; the public FEC registration page is linked for inspection.
ALVARADO FOR KENTUCKYC00912303 Authorized candidateALVARADO, RALPH AH6KY06192
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
ALVARADO FOR KENTUCKYC00912303 Connected organizationALVARADO VICTORY COMMITTEEReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
MY OLD KENTUCKY HOME PACC00952077 Leadership PAC sponsorALVARADO, RALPH AH6KY06192
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1980327Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jul 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $13,850
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash8033bb28b456395462ac9b5ad92925d260d543ef4795894b5786d673271ba1a8

View official FEC record

Month	Raised	Spent
Jul 25	$19,510	$0
Aug 25	$171,053	$0
Sep 25	$132,653	$0
Oct 25	$18,160	$0
Nov 25	$23,614	$0
Dec 25	$125,151	$0
Jan 26	$37,661	$0
Feb 26	$33,473	-$1,000
Mar 26	$126,903	$0
Apr 26	$351,911	$0
May 26	$25,453	$57,245
Jun 26	$177,239	$0

ALVARADO, RALPH A

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast