CARMICHAEL, CHRIS

DemocraticFEC reportedDemocratic candidate · U.S. House · Kansas · District 4 · Election 2026 · ChallengerH6KS04249

Overview

Raised: $97.6K
Spent: $94.1K
Cash on hand: $3,518
Debts owed: $2,543

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Jul 15, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+17.3

VotePredictor forecasts this race between Katy Tyndell (D) and Ron Estes (R) as of November 15, 2026, giving the Republican a 99% chance. Chris Carmichael is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

The Democrat’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	1%
Nov 15, 2026	1%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

1 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 2 notice(s) to CHRIS CARMICHAEL BUILDING COMMON GROUND about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-08-09, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Aug 9, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 1 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Kansas · District 4
Reported party: Democratic
Election year: 2026
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: Not reported

No principal campaign committee is reported in this registration snapshot.

Money in

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$69.1K
Unitemized individual contributions$22.1K
Candidate loans$2,543
Other receipts$3,795

Sources are the candidate's reported totals by line; the lists rank the principal committee's itemized receipts of $200 or more and exclude memo entries.

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$94.1K

Payments are the principal committee's reported transactions, largest first.

Over time

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Money network

No principal campaign committee is linked in the loaded record for this cycle. A money map needs itemized connections; summary totals alone cannot identify contributors or recipients.

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Kansas · District 4
Party affiliation: Democratic
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026
Registered address: 2634 N BLUESTONE CT · ANDOVER, Kansas, 67002
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

CHRIS CARMICHAELC00925651 Authorized candidateCARMICHAEL, CHRISH6KS04249
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
CHRIS CARMICHAEL BUILDING COMMON GROUNDC00931543 Authorized candidateCARMICHAEL, CHRISH6KS04249
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Oct 1, 2025 to Jul 15, 2026
Contribution refunds: $0
Debts owed by committees: $2,543
Last report: PRE-PRIMARY

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash345093edfdc635b8baf1a46157ee9de2f99af3f2897033c87324de67d3fbab29

View official FEC record