DAVIS, JENNIFER

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Illinois · District 8 · Election 2026 · Open seatH6IL08311

Overview

Raised: $1.8M
Spent: $1.5M
Cash on hand: $279.7K
Debts owed: $1M

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 1%
Rating: Safe D
Predicted margin: D+13.7

VotePredictor gives Jennifer Davis a 1% chance of winning as of October 29, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Jennifer Davis’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	3%
Oct 1, 2026	3%
Oct 6, 2026	3%
Oct 9, 2026	5%
Oct 10, 2026	5%
Oct 16, 2026	5%
Oct 24, 2026	4%
Oct 25, 2026	4%
Oct 26, 2026	1%
Oct 29, 2026	1%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

1 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 2 notice(s) to JENNIFER DAVIS FOR CONGRESS about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-08-09, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Aug 9, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 1 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Illinois · District 8
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: JENNIFER DAVIS FOR CONGRESS (C00919142)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Jennifer Davis? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$678.8K
Unitemized individual contributions$80.6K
Other committees$22.8K
Candidate loans$1M

Top contributors

DAVIS, JENNIFER$1M3 contributions
BOLAND, JAMESRepublicanDerived from contributions$14.6K4 contributions
SEIDENSTICKER, LAURA100% Republican · 0% unclassifiedDerived from contributions$10.5K3 contributions
GRIPE, JONATHAN

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1.5M
Contribution refunds$1,000

Largest operating payments

MATCHSTICK MEDIA$115.5KMEDIA BUY · Feb 10, 2026
DAVIS, JENNIFER$53.5KEXPENSE REIMB- SEE MEMOS · Apr 13, 2026
STORYTELLERS GROUP LLC$43.5KMEDIA PRODUCTION · Jan 29, 2026
1892, LLC$40KPOLLING · Jan 2, 2026
MATCHSTICK MEDIA$35KMEDIA PRODUCTION · Mar 3, 2026
STRATEGY MANAGEMENT LLC$29KSTRATEGIC CONSULTING/PRINTING/TEXTING/DIGITAL · May 12, 2026
STORYTELLERS GROUP LLC$23.8KMEDIA PRODUCTION · Mar 6, 2026
STORYTELLERS GROUP LLC$23.8KMEDIA PRODUCTION · Feb 12, 2026
STORYTELLERS GROUP LLC$23.8KMEDIA PRODUCTION · Jan 23, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Sep 25	$555,633	$0
Oct 25	$5,069	$0
Nov 25	$2,020	$0
Dec 25	$25,444	$0
Jan 26	$9,444	$0
Feb 26	$26,836	$0
Mar 26	$303,827	$0
Apr 26	$280,413	$0
May 26	$32,048	$0
Jun 26	$179,676	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Illinois · District 8
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026
Registered address: 40W704 POWERS ROAD · HUNTLEY, Illinois, 60142
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

DAVIS VICTORY COMMITTEEC00962662 Joint fundraising participantJENNIFER DAVIS FOR CONGRESSC00919142
FEC reportedObserved: Oct 8, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion. Observed in the FEC API; the public FEC registration page is linked for inspection.
JENNIFER DAVIS FOR CONGRESSC00919142 Authorized candidateDAVIS, JENNIFERH6IL08311
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
DEFENDING ACCOUNTABILITY, VALUES, INTEGRITY, SECURITY PACC00962597 Leadership PAC sponsorDAVIS, JENNIFERH6IL08311
FEC reportedObserved: Oct 8, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion. Observed in the FEC API; the public FEC registration page is linked for inspection.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jul 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $1,000
Debts owed by committees: $1,000,000
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hashed6b711dac065caabfcb5c0f50c84499edb2321658ba378851f249d00d665f0d

View official FEC record

DAVIS, JENNIFER

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast