ASKAR, CASEY

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Florida · District 22 · Election 2026 · ChallengerH6FL22248

Overview

Raised: $7.4M
Spent: $5.5M
Cash on hand: $1.9M
Debts owed: $6.3M

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 58%
Rating: Toss-up
Predicted margin: R+1.1

VotePredictor gives Casey Askar a 58% chance of winning as of October 30, 2026. Based on 3 polls of the race, blended with its fundamentals.

Casey Askar’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	68%
Oct 1, 2026	68%
Oct 6, 2026	67%
Oct 10, 2026	67%
Oct 16, 2026	66%
Oct 24, 2026	59%
Oct 25, 2026	57%
Oct 28, 2026	58%
Oct 30, 2026	58%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

3 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 3 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $204,892
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT INC. received 77.3% of positive itemized operating spending in CASEY FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Jun 29, 2026
Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 1 notice(s) to CASEY FOR CONGRESS - EMB NOMINEE FUND FL-22 about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-09-20, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Sep 20, 2026
Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 1 notice(s) to CASEY FOR CONGRESS about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-08-11, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Aug 11, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 3 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Florida · District 22
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: CASEY FOR CONGRESS (C00952663)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Casey Askar? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$376K
Unitemized individual contributions$7,621
Other committees$119.5K

Top contributors

ASKAR, CASEY$2.5M4 contributions
GROW THE MAJORITY99% Republican-aligned activity · 0% unclassifiedInferred from activity$68.1K1 contribution
CASEY VICTORY 2026RepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$33.6K8 contributions
CASEY FOR CONGRESS-GTM NOMINEE FUND: FL-22

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$5.1M
Loan repayments$400K
Contribution refunds$9,500

Largest operating payments

ASKAR, CASEY$250KJul 7, 2026
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT INC.$172.7KTV ADVERTISING · Jul 28, 2026
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT INC.$169.7KTV ADVERTISING · Jul 21, 2026
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT INC.$167.5KTV ADVERTISING · Jun 29, 2026
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT INC.$152.9KTV ADVERTISING · Jul 7, 2026
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT INC.$134.3KTV ADVERTISING · Jul 14, 2026
ASKAR, CASEY$95KJul 13, 2026
ASKAR, CASEY$50KJul 13, 2026
GROUNDSWELL STRATEGIES

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month: $2.6M raised and $400K spent over 2 months.

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Florida · District 22
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026
Registered address: 340 9TH STREET NORTH, #86 · NAPLES, Florida, 34102
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

EMMER MAJORITY BUILDERSC00859058 Joint fundraising participantCASEY FOR CONGRESSC00952663
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 2010377Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
CASEY VICTORY 2026C00954495 Joint fundraising participantCASEY FOR CONGRESSC00952663
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1986637Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
THE 218 FUNDC00963363 Joint fundraising participantCASEY FOR CONGRESSC00952663
FEC reportedObserved: Oct 11, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion. Observed in the FEC API; the public FEC registration page is linked for inspection.
CASEY FOR CONGRESS - EMB NOMINEE FUND FL-22C00951087 Authorized candidateASKAR, CASEYH6FL22248
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 26, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
CASEY FOR CONGRESSC00952663 Authorized candidateASKAR, CASEYH0FL19221
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
CASEY FOR CONGRESSC00952663 Authorized candidateASKAR, CASEYH6FL22248
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
CASEY FOR CONGRESS-GTM NOMINEE FUND: FL-22C00954933 Authorized candidateASKAR, CASEYH6FL22248
FEC reportedLoaded: Oct 8, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
CASEY FOR CONGRESSC00952663 Connected organizationCASEY VICTORY 2026Reported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
ALLIGATOR ALLEY PACC00953414 Leadership PAC sponsorASKAR, CASEYH6FL22248
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1986643Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Apr 1, 2026 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $9,500
Debts owed by committees: $6,290,000
Last report: TERMINATION REPORT

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hasha63aa35fc0d110e3f8816cdd9eebda4177a2420f66468c6d5bc84d587694a366

View official FEC record

ASKAR, CASEY

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast