HILL, BILL

IndependentFEC reportedIndependent candidate · U.S. House · Alaska · At-large · Election 2026 · ChallengerH6AK01092

Overview

Raised: $2.3M
Spent: $2.2M
Cash on hand: $190.4K
Debts owed: $0

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Sep 30, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+28.2

VotePredictor forecasts this race between Eric Hafner (D) and Nick Begich III (R) as of October 29, 2026, giving the Republican a 99% chance. Bill Hill is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. Based on 4 polls of the race, blended with its fundamentals.

The Democrat’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	1%
Oct 29, 2026	1%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review · No open linked indicators

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

No open indicators are linked in the published index. This is not a compliance clearance.

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Alaska · At-large
Reported party: Independent
Election year: 2026
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: BILL HILL FOR ALASKANS (C00935437)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Bill Hill? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$1.7M
Unitemized individual contributions$466.6K
Other committees$178.7K

Top contributors

HARDWORKING ALASKANS VICTORY FUNDParty not classifiedUnclassified$28K1 contribution
IMPOSSIBLE TO INEVITABLE94% Democratic-aligned activityInferred from activity$17.9K2 contributions
HARRIS, WILLIAM SR97% DemocraticDerived from contributions$14K2 contributions

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$2M
Contribution refunds$22.8K
Other disbursements$5,255

Largest operating payments

SHIP CREEK GROUP$140.3KMEDIA PRODUCTION AND PAID MEDIA BUY - TV · Jul 16, 2026
SHIP CREEK GROUP$60KMEDIA PRODUCTION AND PAID MEDIA BUY - DIGITAL · Jul 3, 2026
GBAO STRATEGIES$55.7KPOLLING · May 22, 2026
SHIP CREEK GROUP$25.8KSOFTWARE, TEXTING, TRAVEL, TELEPHONE SERVICES, OFFICE SUPPLIES · Mar 17, 2026
SHIP CREEK GROUP$25KSTRATEGIC & FUNDRAISING CONSULTING · Feb 20, 2026
SHIP CREEK GROUP$21.7KPHOTOGRAPHY SERVICES & VIDEO PRODUCTION · Mar 17, 2026
SHIP CREEK GROUP$20KMEDIA PRODUCTION AND PAID MEDIA BUY - DIGITAL · Jul 6, 2026
SHIP CREEK GROUP$15.1KSTRATEGIC AND FUNDRAISING CONSULTING & CONSULTANT TRAVEL · Jul 2, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 26	$189,229	$0
Feb 26	$227,732	$0
Mar 26	$195,037	$0
Apr 26	$68,696	$0
May 26	$63,220	$0
Jun 26	$166,501	$0
Jul 26	$123,156	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Alaska · At-large
Party affiliation: Independent
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026
Registered address: PO BOX 220703 · ANCHORAGE, Alaska, 99522
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

IMPOSSIBLE TO INEVITABLEC00944645 Joint fundraising participantBILL HILL FOR ALASKANSC00935437
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 2002653Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
HARDWORKING ALASKANS VICTORY FUNDC00961052 Joint fundraising participantBILL HILL FOR ALASKANSC00935437
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 2011114Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
ALASKANS FIRST FUNDC00963801 Joint fundraising participantBILL HILL FOR ALASKANSC00935437
FEC reportedObserved: Oct 20, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion. Observed in the FEC API; the public FEC registration page is linked for inspection.
BILL HILL FOR ALASKANSC00935437 Authorized candidateHILL, BILLH6AK01092
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
BILL HILL FOR ALASKANSC00935437 Connected organizationIMPOSSIBLE TO INEVITABLEReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2026 to Sep 30, 2026
Contribution refunds: $22,799
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash1cb83bf6dbe1ae5f65bd7e04ef360d34dd387064084ba9240816b69068811ce4

View official FEC record

HILL, BILL

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast