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New records for BAUMGARTNER, MICHAEL JAMES.2025–2026 election cycle

Records from this candidate’s linked campaign committees.

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BAUMGARTNER, MICHAEL JAMES

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Washington · District 5 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH4WA05234

Overview

Raised: $2.2Mvs $1.5M 2023–2024
Spent: $1.7Mvs $1.3M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $689.9Kvs $191.6K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $120.1K 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 86%
Rating: Likely R
Predicted margin: R+6.6

VotePredictor gives Vote Baumgartner a 86% chance of winning as of October 30, 2026. Based on 1 poll of the race, blended with its fundamentals.

Vote Baumgartner’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	84%
Oct 1, 2026	84%
Oct 6, 2026	83%
Oct 10, 2026	83%
Oct 16, 2026	82%
Oct 24, 2026	85%
Oct 25, 2026	86%
Oct 30, 2026	86%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

1 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 1 notice(s) to VOTE BAUMGARTNER FOR CONGRESS about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-05-17, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: May 17, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 1 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Washington · District 5
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: VOTE BAUMGARTNER FOR CONGRESS (C00870758)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Vote Baumgartner? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$1.4M
Unitemized individual contributions$234.2K
Other committees$490.3K
Other receipts$0

Top contributors

BAUMGARTNER VANGUARD SOCIETYRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$41.1K2 contributions
ASMUS, RONRepublicanDerived from contributions$14K1 contribution
MILES, BRADLEY

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1.6M
Loan repayments$90.1K
Contribution refunds$11.2K

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEMixed activity · 46% Democratic / 54% RepublicanInferred from activity$1,000

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

GEN2 SOLUTIONS LLC$64.1KMEDIA BUYS · Jul 13, 2026
GEN2 SOLUTIONS LLC$52.7KMEDIA BUYS · Jul 7, 2026
BAUMGARTNER, MICHAEL JAMES$50KApr 24, 2025
BAUMGARTNER, MICHAEL JAMES$40.2KSEE MEMOS · Aug 17, 2025
BAUMGARTNER, MICHAEL JAMES$40KNov 20, 2025

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$8,442	$0
Feb 25	$20,383	$0
Mar 25	$118,673	$0
Apr 25	$21,280	$50,000
May 25	$29,387	$0
Jun 25	$101,791	$0
Jul 25	$33,279	$0
Aug 25	$67,553	$0
Sep 25	$58,469	$0
Oct 25	$30,538	$0
Nov 25	$43,089	$40,100
Dec 25	$177,808	$0
Jan 26	$8,081	$0
Feb 26	$96,996	$0
Mar 26	$137,585	$0
Apr 26	$48,207	$0
May 26	$44,564	$0
Jun 26	$104,839	$0
Jul 26	$15,210	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Washington · District 5
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: PO BOX 8508 · SPOKANE, Washington, 99203
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

BAUMGARTNER VANGUARD SOCIETYC00901819 Joint fundraising participantVOTE BAUMGARTNER FOR CONGRESSC00870758
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1884442Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
SHORING UP REPUBLICAN FUTURES FUND (SURF FUND)C00953547 Joint fundraising participantVOTE BAUMGARTNER FOR CONGRESSC00870758
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1983213Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
VOTE BAUMGARTNER FOR CONGRESSC00870758 Authorized candidateBAUMGARTNER, MICHAEL JAMESH4WA05234
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
VOTE BAUMGARTNER FOR CONGRESSC00870758 Connected organizationBAUMGARTNER VANGUARD SOCIETYReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
BAUM PACC00900688 Leadership PAC sponsorBAUMGARTNER, MICHAEL JAMESH4WA05234
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1893809Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $11,203
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hashf83d273750f48c0aa5864f43dd5e9e527ebe734f09f205089fff0d61061ce8a9

View official FEC record

BAUMGARTNER, MICHAEL JAMES

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast