WHITLOW, STUART NORMAN MR.

DemocraticFEC reportedDemocratic candidate · U.S. House · Texas · District 31 · Election 2026 · ChallengerH4TX31081

Overview

Raised: $204Kvs $311.8K 2023–2024
Spent: $207.6Kvs $308.2K 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $0vs $3,651 2023–2024
Debts owed: $377Kvs $202K 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Sep 30, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+16.5

VotePredictor forecasts this race between Justin Early (D) and John Carter (R) as of October 30, 2026, giving the Republican a 99% chance. Stuart Norman Whitlow is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

The Democrat’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	1%
Oct 24, 2026	1%
Oct 25, 2026	1%
Oct 30, 2026	1%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

1 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $33,827
NORTH COMPASS POLITICAL LLC received 75.5% of positive itemized operating spending in WHITLOW FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Dec 25, 2025

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 1 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Texas · District 31
Reported party: Democratic
Election year: 2026
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: WHITLOW FOR CONGRESS (C00863621)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Stuart Norman Whitlow? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$11K
Unitemized individual contributions$4,669

Top contributors

WHITLOW, STUART NORMAN$183.4K26 contributions
MARCH ON PAC98% Democratic-aligned activity · 2% unclassifiedInferred from activity$5,0001 contribution
RICKERT, MICHAELDemocraticDerived from contributions$3,5001 contribution
KINSCHERFF, RICHARD PAUL

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$199.3K
Loan repayments$8,356

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

WHATLEY FOR SENATERepublicanFEC reported$500

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

NORTH COMPASS POLITICAL LLC$23.3KPOLITICAL CONSULTING SERVICES · Feb 10, 2026
NORTH COMPASS POLITICAL LLC$18.1KPOLITICAL CONSULTING SERVICES · Feb 2, 2026
NORTH COMPASS POLITICAL LLC$13.5KPOLITICAL CONSULTING SERVICES · Jan 6, 2026
NORTH COMPASS POLITICAL LLC$13.5KPOLITICAL CONSULTING SERVICES · Dec 2, 2025
NUMERICK, KEVIN$12KPOLITICAL CONSULTING SERVICES · Mar 2, 2026
NORTH COMPASS POLITICAL LLC$10KPOLITICAL CONSULTING SERVICES · Jan 12, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$1,980	$0
Mar 25	$4,000	$0
Jun 25	$6,778	$0
Sep 25	$19,296	$0
Oct 25	$7,500	$7,500
Nov 25	$28,000	$274
Dec 25	$18,455	$0
Jan 26	$33,850	$2
Feb 26	$60,450	$463
Mar 26	$19,000	$26
May 26	$0	$85

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Texas · District 31
Party affiliation: Democratic
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: 910 QUEST PKWY. · APT. 6113 · CEDAR PARK, Texas, 78613
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

WHITLOW FOR CONGRESSC00863621 Authorized candidateWHITLOW, STUART NORMAN MR.H4TX31081
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Sep 30, 2026
Contribution refunds: $0
Debts owed by committees: $377,000
Last report: OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash9a11226ac8fc6776fd467134b4fc9574c200784519de1448446b98dde163a13f

View official FEC record

WHITLOW, STUART NORMAN MR.

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast

FEC-reported relationships