CONAWAY, HERB MD

DemocraticFEC reportedDemocratic candidate · U.S. House · New Jersey · District 3 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH4NJ03080

Overview

Raised: $1.2Mvs $1.4M 2023–2024
Spent: $753.7Kvs $1.3M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $436.3Kvs $37.4K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $23.6K 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 99%
Rating: Safe D
Predicted margin: D+14.9

VotePredictor gives Herb Conaway a 99% chance of winning as of November 3, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Herb Conaway’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	98%
Oct 1, 2026	98%
Oct 6, 2026	98%
Oct 10, 2026	98%
Oct 16, 2026	98%
Oct 24, 2026	98%
Oct 25, 2026	99%
Oct 26, 2026	99%
Nov 3, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review · No open linked indicators

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

No open indicators are linked in the published index. This is not a compliance clearance.

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · New Jersey · District 3
Reported party: Democratic
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: HERB CONAWAY FOR CONGRESS (C00859496)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Herb Conaway? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$445.8K
Unitemized individual contributions$72.6K
Other committees$630.6K

Top contributors

UNITED STEEL WORKERS PACNoneFEC reported$10K2 contributions
AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION PACMixed activity · 40% Democratic / 50% Republican · 10% unclassifiedInferred from activity$9,0002 contributions
SPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES CORP. PACMixed activity · 6% Democratic / 89% Republican · 4% unclassifiedInferred from activity

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$612.6K
Contribution refunds$7,309
Other disbursements$8,776

Largest operating payments

WOHLRAB, STEPHANIE$12.5KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING · Apr 16, 2025
LIFTOFF CAMPAIGNS, LLC$12KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING · Apr 16, 2025
ARROWHEAD STRATEGIES LLC$11.3KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING · Jun 10, 2025
DUFFY, CHRISTIAN$8,500GENERAL CAMPAIGN CONSULTING · Jan 6, 2026
THE FROST GROUP$7,500FUNDRAISING CONSULTING · Apr 7, 2026
THE FROST GROUP$7,186FUNDRAISING CONSULTING · Feb 17, 2026
THE FROST GROUP$6,500FUNDRAISING CONSULTING · Jun 22, 2026
THE FROST GROUP$6,500FUNDRAISING CONSULTING · May 18, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: New Jersey · District 3
Party affiliation: Democratic
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: P O BOX 493 · WILLINGBORO, New Jersey, 08046
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

NJ DEMS VICTORY FUNDC00817346 Joint fundraising participantHERB CONAWAY FOR CONGRESSC00859496
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1796243Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
HERB CONAWAY FOR CONGRESSC00859496 Authorized candidateCONAWAY, HERB MDH4NJ03080
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
HERB CONAWAY FOR CONGRESSC00859496 Connected organization314 ACTION IMPACT SLATEReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
DOCTOR'S ORDERSC00894022 Leadership PAC sponsorCONAWAY, HERB MDH4NJ03080
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1878879Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $7,309
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash4e5c68ac51d1cedb8a3323b05b6bee6e08acca492934736022ae399299750b26

View official FEC record

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$16,014	$0
Feb 25	$2,997	$0
Mar 25	$58,525	$0
Apr 25	$7,840	$0
May 25	$32,160	$0
Jun 25	$63,512	$25,000
Jul 25	$18,735	$0
Aug 25	$8,071	$0
Sep 25	$28,021	$25,000
Oct 25	$12,591	$1,500
Nov 25	$8,466	$25,000
Dec 25	$18,658	$0
Jan 26	$7,956	$0
Feb 26	$6,471	$0
Mar 26	$34,688	$5,000
Apr 26	$18,306	$0
May 26	$6,356	$0
Jun 26	$30,701	$22,500

CONAWAY, HERB MD

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast