Quick alert

New records for ZINKE, RYAN K.2025–2026 election cycle

Records from this candidate’s linked campaign committees.

Newly imported matching records only; no historical backfill. Verify your email to start. Every email includes an unsubscribe link.

ZINKE, RYAN K

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Montana · District 1 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH4MT01041

Overview

Raised: —vs $10.1M 2023–2024
Spent: —vs $9.5M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: —vs $680.5K 2023–2024
Debts owed: —vs $0 2023–2024

The candidate's financial summary is temporarily unavailable; the lists below come from the principal committee's loaded records.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Toss-up
Predicted margin: R+0.6

VotePredictor forecasts this race between Sam Forstag (D) and Aaron Flint (R) as of October 30, 2026, giving the Republican a 54% chance. Commander Zinke is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. Based on 8 polls of the race, blended with its fundamentals.

The Republican’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	83%
Sep 29, 2026	80%
Oct 1, 2026	80%
Oct 6, 2026	79%
Oct 10, 2026	79%
Oct 16, 2026	78%
Oct 21, 2026	72%
Oct 22, 2026	61%
Oct 24, 2026	61%
Oct 25, 2026	60%
Oct 28, 2026	62%
Oct 30, 2026	54%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

2 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 2 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $387,559
TARGETED VICTORY received 61.0% of positive itemized operating spending in COMMANDER ZINKE LEADERSHIP FUND's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Dec 11, 2025
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $255,142
TARGETED VICTORY received 66.4% of positive itemized operating spending in COMMANDER ZINKE LEADERSHIP FUND's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Sep 11, 2025

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 2 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Montana · District 1
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: COMMANDER ZINKE LEADERSHIP FUND (C00778159)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Commander Zinke? Read the article →

Top contributors

GROW THE MAJORITY99% Republican-aligned activity · 0% unclassifiedInferred from activity$439.7K9 contributions
DEFEND OUR MAJORITYRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$240.7K6 contributions
EMMER MAJORITY BUILDERSRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$178.3K9 contributions
COMMANDER ZINKE99% Republican-aligned activity · 1% unclassified

Money out

Largest operating payments

TARGETED VICTORY$251.8KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Apr 18, 2025
TARGETED VICTORY$229.6KPAC DIGITAL ADVERTISING · Apr 30, 2026
TARGETED VICTORY$173.1KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Jan 2, 2026
TARGETED VICTORY$169.8KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Dec 11, 2025
TARGETED VICTORY$123KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Feb 5, 2026
TARGETED VICTORY$120KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Nov 10, 2025
TARGETED VICTORY$105.8KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Sep 11, 2025
TARGETED VICTORY$97.8KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Oct 16, 2025
TARGETED VICTORY$96KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · May 22, 2025
TARGETED VICTORY$92.2KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Jul 17, 2025

All spending →

Payments are the principal committee's reported transactions, largest first.

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Montana · District 1
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: 409 2ND ST W · WHITEFISH, Montana, 59937-3010
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

COMMANDER ZINKEC00805192 Joint fundraising participantZINKE FOR CONGRESSC00778159
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1748094Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
ZINKE VICTORY FUNDC00820548 Joint fundraising participantZINKE FOR CONGRESSC00778159
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1610725Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
PROTECT THE HOUSE 2024C00831925 Joint fundraising participantZINKE FOR CONGRESSC00778159
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1678396Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
ZINKE MAJORITY FUNDC00844373 Joint fundraising participantZINKE FOR CONGRESSC00778159
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1709418Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
SCALISE LEADERSHIP FUND 2024C00857144 Joint fundraising participantZINKE FOR CONGRESSC00778159
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1788304Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
DEFEND OUR MAJORITYC00895821 Joint fundraising participantZINKE FOR CONGRESSC00778159
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 2010386Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
STRONGEST AMERICA JFCC00896746 Joint fundraising participantZINKE FOR CONGRESSC00778159
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1928916Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
LEAN FORWARD AMERICAC00930396 Joint fundraising participantZINKE FOR CONGRESSC00778159
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1930604Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
COMMANDER ZINKE LEADERSHIP FUNDC00778159 Associated candidateZINKE, RYAN KH4MT01041
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
COMMANDER ZINKE LEADERSHIP FUNDC00778159 Authorized candidateZINKE, RYAN KH4MT01041
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate master: reported principal campaign committee (CAND_PCC). The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Not reported
Contribution refunds: —
Debts owed by committees: —
Last report: Not reported

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash4dbddd54ed17a9456f186d3da6b501c8b26e803886a974d12049f24af37278bf

View official FEC record

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$62,247	$2,000
Feb 25	$57,883	$0
Mar 25	$484,691	$42,519
Apr 25	$109,382	$0
May 25	$92,505	$0
Jun 25	$439,233	$0
Jul 25	$131,062	$0
Aug 25	$178,915	$0
Sep 25	$242,865	$0
Oct 25	$189,776	$0
Nov 25	$180,534	$0
Dec 25	$363,532	$0
Jan 26	$60,228	$0
Feb 26	$48,638	$0
Mar 26	$38,192	$515,973
Apr 26	$47,314	$100,000
May 26	$56,119	$4,500
Jun 26	$49,357	$0
Jul 26	$53,670	$2,500
Aug 26	$55,374	$0

ZINKE, RYAN K

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Top contributors

Money out

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast