WINKELMAN, AUSTIN DANIEL

IndependentFEC reportedIndependent candidate · U.S. House · Minnesota · District 6 · Election 2026 · ChallengerH4MN06145

Overview

Raised: $2,839vs $9,378 2023–2024
Spent: $3,586vs $2,420 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $1,253vs $15.7K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Mar 31, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+13.9

VotePredictor forecasts this race between Doug Chapin (D) and Tom Emmer (R) as of November 1, 2026, giving the Republican a 99% chance. Austin Daniel Winkelman is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

The Democrat’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	2%
Oct 1, 2026	2%
Oct 6, 2026	2%
Oct 10, 2026	2%
Oct 16, 2026	2%
Oct 24, 2026	2%
Oct 25, 2026	2%
Oct 26, 2026	1%
Nov 1, 2026	1%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

1 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 2 notice(s) to AUSTIN 4 REP about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-07-30, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Jul 30, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 1 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Minnesota · District 6
Reported party: Independent
Election year: 2026
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Not yet a statutory candidate
Principal campaign committee: AUSTIN 4 REP (C00859314)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Austin Daniel Winkelman? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$2,739
Other committees$100

Top contributors

WINKELMAN, AUSTIN DANIEL$2,7381 contribution

All contributors →

Sources are the candidate's reported totals by line; the lists rank the principal committee's itemized receipts of $200 or more and exclude memo entries.

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$3,586

Largest operating payments

AUSTIN4REP$3,586DATA · Mar 3, 2026

All spending →

Payments are the principal committee's reported transactions, largest first.

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month: $2,738 raised and $0 spent over 1 month.

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Minnesota · District 6
Party affiliation: Independent
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Not yet a statutory candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: 11420 60TH ST NE · ALBERTVILLE, Minnesota, 55301
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

AUSTIN 4 REPC00859314 Authorized candidateWINKELMAN, AUSTIN DANIELH4MN06145
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2026 to Mar 31, 2026
Contribution refunds: $0
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: APRIL QUARTERLY

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash936ab770ad4146e0dcf7b0a23acd86820d2b5fb52280fb1c2ef89b885fd7f34e

View official FEC record