MESSMER, MARK MR.

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Indiana · District 8 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH4IN08249

Overview

Raised: $1.4Mvs $1.5M 2023–2024
Spent: $1.1Mvs $1.3M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $550.9Kvs $207.1K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $29.7K 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 99%
Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+29.2

VotePredictor gives Mark Messmer a 99% chance of winning as of November 9, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Mark Messmer’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Nov 9, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

3 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

2 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $34,233
DANIELS SPAULDING CONSULTING, LLC received 53.0% of positive itemized operating spending in MESSMER FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: May 28, 2025
Apparent corporate or labor receipt →Associated amount: $3,250
Reported organization name appears incorporated, a bank, or a labor organization; direct treasury contributions to candidate committees are generally prohibited. Verify entity form and source of funds.
Evidence date: Apr 6, 2026
LLC or partnership eligibility →Associated amount: $1,000
Reported contributor appears to be an LLC or partnership. Verify permissible tax status, written eligibility notice, member or partner attribution, and contribution limits.
Evidence date: Apr 3, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 3 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Indiana · District 8
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: MESSMER FOR CONGRESS (C00867218)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Mark Messmer? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$302K
Unitemized individual contributions$6,527
Other committees$547.9K
Transfers from affiliates$564.2K
Candidate contributions$3,500

Top contributors

MESSMER VICTORY FUNDRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$555.3K20 contributions
LOQUERCIO, ROBERT95% Republican · 0% unclassifiedDerived from contributions$10K2 contributions

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$706.6K
Contribution refunds$14.7K
Other disbursements$359.5K

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEMixed activity · 46% Democratic / 54% RepublicanInferred from activity$3,500

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

MARK IT RED$31.5KPOLLING · Mar 2, 2026
THE TOWNSEND GROUP$22.1KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING; FOOD/BEVERAGE; EVENT TICKETS FOR FUNDRAISING EVENT · Dec 31, 2025
JAMESTOWN ASSOCIATES$20K2024 GENERAL ELECTION WIN BONUS · Jan 6, 2025
DANIELS SPAULDING CONSULTING, LLC$17.1KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING SERVICES · Oct 28, 2025
DANIELS SPAULDING CONSULTING, LLC$15.2K

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Indiana · District 8
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: PO BOX 44003 · INDIANAPOLIS, Indiana, 46244
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

FRESHMAN AGRICULTURAL REPUBLICAN MEMBERS TRUST AKA FARM TRUSTC00493783 Joint fundraising participantMESSMER FOR CONGRESSC00867218
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1878505Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
MESSMER VICTORY FUNDC00881441 Joint fundraising participantMESSMER FOR CONGRESSC00867218
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1789938Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
STRATEGIC DEFENSE FUNDC00956862 Joint fundraising participantMESSMER FOR CONGRESSC00867218
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1999038Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
MESSMER FOR CONGRESSC00867218 Authorized candidateMESSMER, MARK MR.H4IN08249
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
MESSMER FOR CONGRESSC00867218 Connected organizationMESSMER VICTORY FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
INDIANAENGRPACC00880674 Leadership PAC sponsorMESSMER, MARK MR.H4IN08249
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1791918Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $14,664
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hashf38eb9b0dfe099809b8d0482b49407e4c45f19bd547ce7e7a2b2434c7c7ea450

View official FEC record

Month	Raised	Spent
Feb 25	$1,000	$0
Mar 25	$73,264	$8,000
Apr 25	$11,102	$0
May 25	$18,260	$0
Jun 25	$124,973	$16,000
Jul 25	$11,020	$0
Aug 25	$1,000	$0
Sep 25	$105,287	$0
Oct 25	$5,000	$15,000
Nov 25	$6,291	$3,500
Dec 25	$74,019	$23,500
Jan 26	$15,102	$0
Feb 26	$20,669	$0
Mar 26	$103,220	$10,406
Apr 26	$64,929	$102,000
May 26	$2,832	$500
Jun 26	$76,961	$8,000

MESSMER, MARK MR.

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast