CARTER, EARL LEROY

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Georgia · District 1 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH4GA01039

Overview

Raised: $7.3Mvs $2.6M 2023–2024
Spent: $10.3Mvs $1.4M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $58.6Kvs $3M 2023–2024
Debts owed: $3.5Mvs $0 2023–2024

FEC candidate summary totals through Sep 30, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+9.2

VotePredictor forecasts this race between Amanda Hollowell (D) and Jim Kingston (R) as of November 4, 2026, giving the Republican a 99% chance. Buddy Carter is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

The Republican’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	95%
Oct 1, 2026	95%
Oct 6, 2026	94%
Oct 9, 2026	90%
Oct 10, 2026	90%
Oct 16, 2026	90%
Oct 24, 2026	88%
Oct 25, 2026	90%
Oct 26, 2026	99%
Nov 4, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review · No open linked indicators

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

No open indicators are linked in the published index. This is not a compliance clearance.

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Georgia · District 1
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: BUDDY CARTER FOR SENATE (C00543967)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Buddy Carter? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$1.4M
Unitemized individual contributions$528.9K
Other committees$1.1M
Transfers from affiliates$635.3K
Candidate loans$3.5M

Top contributors

CARTER, EARL LEROY$3.5M3 contributions
TEAM BUDDY99% Republican-aligned activity · 1% unclassifiedInferred from activity$635.3K22 contributions
HUNT, DOUGLAS H.RepublicanDerived from contributions$28K

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$9.7M
Transfers to affiliates$2,500
Contribution refunds$535.3K

Largest operating payments

STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT INC.$1MDIGITAL MARKETING · Apr 21, 2026
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT INC.$586KADVERTISING · May 30, 2025
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT INC.$543KADVERTISING · May 15, 2025
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT INC.$543KADVERTISING · May 12, 2025
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT INC.$500KADVERTISING · May 22, 2025
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT INC.$496.2KDIGITAL MARKETING · May 5, 2026
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT INC.$435.6KDIGITAL MARKETING · May 15, 2026
BIG DOG STRATEGIES LLC$413.7KSTRATEGY CONSULTING · Apr 2, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$12,174	$0
Feb 25	$28,349	$0
Mar 25	$187,604	$0
Apr 25	$31,000	$2,500
May 25	$108,386	$0
Jun 25	$2,450,579	$0
Jul 25	$58,170	$5,000
Aug 25	$84,722	-$1,000
Sep 25	$362,145	-$500
Oct 25	$71,611	$0
Nov 25	$105,339	$0
Dec 25	$1,237,596	$0
Jan 26	$28,476	$0
Feb 26	$36,876	$0
Mar 26	$240,862	$0
Apr 26	$88,139	$0
May 26	$527,718	$193,200
Jun 26	-$132,299	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Georgia · District 1
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: 406 PURPLE FINCH DR · POOLER, Georgia, 31322
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

TEAM BUDDYC00726802 Joint fundraising participantBUDDY CARTER FOR SENATEC00543967
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1900539Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
LEAN FORWARD AMERICAC00930396 Joint fundraising participantBUDDY CARTER FOR SENATEC00543967
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1930604Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
BUDDY CARTER FOR SENATEC00543967 Authorized candidateCARTER, EARL LEROYH4GA01039
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate master: reported principal campaign committee (CAND_PCC). The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
BUDDY CARTER FOR SENATEC00543967 Authorized candidateCARTER, EARL LEROYS6GA00374
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
BUDDY CARTER FOR SENATEC00543967 Connected organizationREPUBLICANS INSPIRING SUCCESS & EMPOWERMENT PROJECT (RISE PROJECT)Reported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Sep 30, 2026
Contribution refunds: $535,321
Debts owed by committees: $3,500,000
Last report: Not reported

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hashb91991a2b2ef18e2094b6ead70153a23e93c3cffe748a66718efaf11f49718cb

View official FEC record

CARTER, EARL LEROY

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Race forecast

Money network