CROCKETT, JASMINE

DemocraticFEC reportedDemocratic candidate · U.S. House · Texas · District 30 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH2TX30178

Overview

Raised: $8.3Mvs $3.1M 2023–2024
Spent: $9.6Mvs $1.7M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $272.2Kvs $1.6M 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Sep 30, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe D
Predicted margin: D+54.5

VotePredictor forecasts this race between Frederick Haynes III (D) and Everett Jackson (R) as of November 14, 2026, giving the Democrat a 99% chance. Jasmine Crockett is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

The Democrat’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Nov 14, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

4 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 4 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $1,109,480
BLUE CHIP STRATEGIES received 59.0% of positive itemized operating spending in JASMINE FOR US's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Sep 23, 2025
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $521,712
BLUE CHIP STRATEGIES received 56.3% of positive itemized operating spending in JASMINE FOR US's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Jun 27, 2025
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $355,189
BLUE CHIP STRATEGIES received 53.0% of positive itemized operating spending in JASMINE FOR US's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Mar 27, 2025
Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 1 notice(s) to JASMINE FOR US about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-04-27, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Apr 27, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 4 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Texas · District 30
Reported party: Democratic
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: JASMINE FOR US (C00795450)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Jasmine Crockett? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$1.9M
Unitemized individual contributions$5.8M
Other committees$169.1K
Transfers from affiliates$378.3K
Other receipts$32.8K

Top contributors

JASMINE FOR TEXASDemocraticFEC reported$368.1K3 contributions
ARANZA, GILBERT100% DemocraticDerived from contributions$17.5K5 contributions
GERVAIS, FELICIA

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$4.6M
Contribution refunds$83.5K
Other disbursements$21.5K

Largest operating payments

BLUE CHIP STRATEGIES$250KADVERTISING · Aug 26, 2025
BLUE CHIP STRATEGIES$250KADVERTISING · Jul 24, 2025
BLUE CHIP STRATEGIES$250KADVERTISING · Jul 3, 2025
BLUE CHIP STRATEGIES$200KADVERTISING · Oct 2, 2025
BLUE CHIP STRATEGIES$150KADVERTISING · Jun 17, 2025
BLUE CHIP STRATEGIES$145.5KADVERTISING · Jul 3, 2025
BLUE CHIP STRATEGIES$130.3KDIGITAL CONSULTING · Oct 2, 2025
BLUE CHIP STRATEGIES$113.9KADVERTISING · Aug 6, 2025
BLUE CHIP STRATEGIES

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Texas · District 30
Party affiliation: Democratic
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: PO BOX 227235 · DALLAS, Texas, 75222
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

BLUE TO THE FUTUREC00826123 Joint fundraising participantJASMINE FOR USC00795450
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1632824Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
CROCKETT SYKES VICTORY FUNDC00901249 Joint fundraising participantJASMINE FOR USC00795450
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1883534Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
JASMINE FOR USC00795450 Authorized candidateCROCKETT, JASMINEH2TX30178
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
JASMINE FOR USC00795450 Connected organizationCROCKETT SYKES VICTORY FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
FUELING INDIVIDUAL RIGHTS EVERYWHERE (FIRE) PACC00829655 Leadership PAC sponsorCROCKETT, JASMINEH2TX30178
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1863032Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Sep 30, 2026
Contribution refunds: $83,537
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash9f93b2adf791233d630ffe7baf35e973be73aae3d0c3fe7db1bc7458ec884e85

View official FEC record

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$51,426	$0
Feb 25	$131,720	$0
Mar 25	$210,263	$0
Apr 25	$134,104	$0
May 25	$133,463	$5,000
Jun 25	$244,661	$4,000
Jul 25	$161,931	$2,000
Aug 25	$130,572	$0
Sep 25	$193,667	$0
Oct 25	$264,966	$0
Nov 25	$123,596	$0
Dec 25	$35,771	$4,503,875
Feb 26	$0	$350,000
Apr 26	$0	$5,000
May 26	$150,000	$0

CROCKETT, JASMINE

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast