CUELLAR, HENRY R.

DemocraticFEC reportedDemocratic candidate · U.S. House · Texas · District 28 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH2TX23082

Overview

Raised: $3Mvs $2.5M 2023–2024
Spent: $2.4Mvs $2.5M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $657.2Kvs $48K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $301Kvs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 91%
Rating: Likely D
Predicted margin: D+7.0

VotePredictor gives Henry Cuellar a 91% chance of winning as of November 14, 2026. Based on 3 polls of the race, blended with its fundamentals.

Henry Cuellar’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	67%
Oct 1, 2026	67%
Oct 6, 2026	68%
Oct 10, 2026	69%
Oct 16, 2026	69%
Oct 21, 2026	92%
Oct 24, 2026	90%
Oct 25, 2026	90%
Oct 31, 2026	90%
Nov 1, 2026	91%
Nov 2, 2026	90%
Nov 3, 2026	91%
Nov 6, 2026	91%
Nov 8, 2026	91%
Nov 14, 2026	91%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

1 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 1 notice(s) to TEXANS FOR HENRY CUELLAR CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGN about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-08-24, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Aug 24, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 1 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Texas · District 28
Reported party: Democratic
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: TEXANS FOR HENRY CUELLAR CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGN (C00371302)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Henry Cuellar? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$1.6M
Unitemized individual contributions$69K
Other committees$921.9K
Party committees$5,761
Transfers from affiliates$112.2K
Candidate contributions$16.5K
Candidate loans$301K
Other receipts$141

Top contributors

CUELLAR, HENRY$317.5K26 contributions
JEFFRIES BATTLEGROUND PROTECTION FUNDDemocraticInferred from FEC-reported participants$52.7K

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$2.4M
Contribution refunds$10.3K
Other disbursements$9,464

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEMixed activity · 46% Democratic / 54% RepublicanInferred from activity$134.2K
ZINC COLLECTIVE PACDemocratic-aligned activityInferred from activity$833

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

FLOOD & FLOOD$50KLEGAL SERVICES · Jul 1, 2025
FLOOD & FLOOD$50KLEGAL SERVICES · Jun 9, 2025
BRACEWELL LLP$50KLEGAL SERVICES · Feb 18, 2025

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$17,650	$0
Feb 25	$53,000	$0
Mar 25	$31,087	$0
Apr 25	$10,900	$0
May 25	$60,000	$0
Jun 25	$287,500	$0
Jul 25	$29,250	$0
Aug 25	$43,015	$0
Sep 25	$69,087	$0
Oct 25	$65,525	$0
Nov 25	$9,360	$0
Dec 25	$124,900	$0
Jan 26	$31,825	$0
Feb 26	$77,333	$0
Mar 26	$145,833	$415
Apr 26	$137,226	$0
May 26	$98,395	$0
Jun 26	$175,246	$255

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Texas · District 28
Party affiliation: Democratic
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: 1519 WASHINGTON ST. · STE. 200 · LAREDO, Texas, 78040
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

FRONTLINE PROTECTION FUNDC00902270 Joint fundraising participantTEXANS FOR HENRY CUELLAR CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGNC00371302
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1885370Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
BLUE DOG VICTORY FUNDC00908640 Joint fundraising participantTEXANS FOR HENRY CUELLAR CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGNC00371302
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1981525Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
JEFFRIES BATTLEGROUND PROTECTION FUNDC00916429 Joint fundraising participantTEXANS FOR HENRY CUELLAR CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGNC00371302
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1930368Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
CLARK FRONTLINE VICTORY FUNDC00932947 Joint fundraising participantTEXANS FOR HENRY CUELLAR CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGNC00371302
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1930745Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
DEM SUMMER 26C00945253 Joint fundraising participantTEXANS FOR HENRY CUELLAR CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGNC00371302
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1956303Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
CUELLAR VICTORY FUNDC00951921 Joint fundraising participantTEXANS FOR HENRY CUELLAR CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGNC00371302
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1980778Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
TEXANS FOR HENRY CUELLAR CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGNC00371302 Authorized candidateCUELLAR, HENRY R.H2TX23082
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
TEXANS FOR HENRY CUELLAR CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGNC00371302 Connected organizationBLUE DOG VICTORY FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
TEXAS FIRST PACC00439398 Leadership PAC sponsorCUELLAR, HENRY R.H2TX23082
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1980901Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $10,292
Debts owed by committees: $301,000
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hashd07386377f7ed4587a2d04e9170395c80540980c21d3363d9fc962a46da2c197

View official FEC record

CUELLAR, HENRY R.

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast