TURNER, MICHAEL R REP.

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Ohio · District 10 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH2OH03067

Overview

Raised: $1.3Mvs $1.3M 2023–2024
Spent: $1.4Mvs $1.4M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $325.3Kvs $430.4K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 75%
Rating: Lean R
Predicted margin: R+3.6

VotePredictor gives Michael R Turner a 75% chance of winning as of October 29, 2026. Based on 3 polls of the race, blended with its fundamentals.

Michael R Turner’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	72%
Oct 1, 2026	72%
Oct 6, 2026	71%
Oct 10, 2026	70%
Oct 16, 2026	70%
Oct 21, 2026	58%
Oct 24, 2026	73%
Oct 25, 2026	75%
Oct 26, 2026	73%
Oct 28, 2026	75%
Oct 29, 2026	75%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

1 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 1 notice(s) to CITIZENS FOR TURNER about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-05-07, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: May 7, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 1 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Ohio · District 10
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: CITIZENS FOR TURNER (C00373001)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Michael R Turner? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$530.1K
Unitemized individual contributions$58.4K
Other committees$604.1K
Other receipts$516

Top contributors

TURNER VICTORY FUND99% Republican-aligned activity · 1% unclassifiedInferred from activity$119.5K9 contributions
APPENZELLER, ROBERT C. MR.RepublicanDerived from contributions$14.3K6 contributions
ADAMS, MICHAEL MR.

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1.3M
Contribution refunds$5,250
Other disbursements$85.5K

Largest operating payments

MAJORITY STRATEGIES$33.9KDIRECT MAIL PRODUCTION · Apr 22, 2026
AADVANTAGE CARD SERVICES$32.9KSEE MEMO · Jan 21, 2025
AADVANTAGE CARD SERVICES$25.9KSEE MEMO · Dec 15, 2025
HOLTZMAN VOGEL JOSEFIAK TORCHINSKY$25.1KLEGAL FEES · May 18, 2026
AADVANTAGE CARD SERVICES$23.7KSEE MEMO · Mar 26, 2025
AADVANTAGE CARD SERVICES$18.5KSEE MEMO · Jul 14, 2025
AADVANTAGE CARD SERVICES$18.3KSEE MEMO · Apr 14, 2026
THE M GROUP LLC$17.6KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING · Jul 1, 2025
THE M GROUP LLC

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$10,050	$0
Feb 25	$39,200	$0
Mar 25	$135,807	$0
Apr 25	$3,750	$0
May 25	$3,800	$0
Jun 25	$17,798	$18,000
Jul 25	$5,956	$0
Aug 25	$3,706	$0
Sep 25	$25,728	$0
Oct 25	$106	$0
Nov 25	$8,000	$0
Dec 25	$3,818	$0
Jan 26	$3,535	$0
Feb 26	$39,260	$0
Mar 26	$82,250	$0
Apr 26	$35,500	$0
May 26	$9,523	$0
Jun 26	$11,767	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Ohio · District 10
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: 109 NORTH MAIN STREET · APT. 1103 · DAYTON, Ohio, 45402-1344
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

TURNER VICTORY FUNDC00611962 Joint fundraising participantCITIZENS FOR TURNERC00373001
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1875652Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
2003 VICTORY FUNDC00905778 Joint fundraising participantCITIZENS FOR TURNERC00373001
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1893484Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
SUCCESS FOR THE FUTURE FUNDC00920058 Joint fundraising participantCITIZENS FOR TURNERC00373001
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1915168Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
CITIZENS FOR TURNERC00373001 Authorized candidateTURNER, MICHAEL R REP.H2OH03067
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
CITIZENS FOR TURNERC00373001 Connected organizationTURNER VICTORY FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
IMPACT COMMITTEEC00525238 Leadership PAC sponsorTURNER, MICHAEL R REP.H2OH03067
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1657958Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $5,250
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hashb8e97cab9f607f8f8c69a16ae1f7bd41a0492ea268e4fa93ef343d825c14c011

View official FEC record

TURNER, MICHAEL R REP.

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Race forecast

FEC-reported relationships

Money network