EZELL, WALTER MICHAEL

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Mississippi · District 4 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH2MS04258

Overview

Raised: $1.1Mvs $1.2M 2023–2024
Spent: $1.2Mvs $1.1M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $88.9Kvs $151.5K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 99%
Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+38.2

VotePredictor gives Mike Ezell a 99% chance of winning as of November 1, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Mike Ezell’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Nov 1, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

3 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 3 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $139,654
FRONTIER STRATEGIES LLC received 90.5% of positive itemized operating spending in COMMITTEE TO ELECT MIKE EZELL's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Mar 11, 2026
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $84,883
FRONTIER STRATEGIES LLC received 58.4% of positive itemized operating spending in COMMITTEE TO ELECT MIKE EZELL's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Dec 23, 2025
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $59,509
FRONTIER STRATEGIES LLC received 54.5% of positive itemized operating spending in COMMITTEE TO ELECT MIKE EZELL's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Jun 5, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Mississippi · District 4
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: COMMITTEE TO ELECT MIKE EZELL (C00776393)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Mike Ezell? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$525.9K
Unitemized individual contributions$12.7K
Other committees$562.3K

Top contributors

EZELL VICTORY FUNDRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$47.6K2 contributions
VICE, DIANE T.RepublicanDerived from contributions$9,5002 contributions
STRUNK, SHANNON6% Democratic / 88% Republican · 6% unclassifiedDerived from contributions$8,550

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1.2M
Contribution refunds$7,400
Other disbursements$5,500

Largest operating payments

FRONTIER STRATEGIES LLC$208KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Jan 29, 2026
FRONTIER STRATEGIES LLC$63.9KPOLITICAL STRATEGY CONSULTING/MEDIA PLACEMENT & PRODUCTION/PRINTING · Jan 6, 2026
FRONTIER STRATEGIES LLC$48.7KPOLITICAL STRATEGY CONSULTING · Mar 11, 2026
FRONTIER STRATEGIES LLC$34KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Mar 6, 2026
FRONTIER STRATEGIES LLC$29KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Feb 19, 2026
FRONTIER STRATEGIES LLC$28KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Feb 26, 2026
FRONTIER STRATEGIES LLC$21.7KPOLITICAL STRATEGY CONSULTING · Nov 14, 2025
FRONTIER STRATEGIES LLC$20.8KFUNDRAISING CONTULTING · Mar 25, 2025

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	-$398	$0
Feb 25	$4,551	$0
Mar 25	$29,700	$0
Apr 25	$3,597	$0
May 25	$18,923	$0
Jun 25	$8,843	$0
Jul 25	$1,574	$0
Aug 25	$32,533	$0
Sep 25	$143,801	$0
Oct 25	$17,486	$0
Nov 25	$32,095	$0
Dec 25	$35,068	$0
Jan 26	$8,736	$0
Feb 26	$15,770	$0
Mar 26	$81,581	$0
Apr 26	$7,384	$0
May 26	$16,363	$0
Jun 26	$1,691	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Mississippi · District 4
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: P.O. BOX 17784 · HATTIESBURG, Mississippi, 39404
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

TRANSPORTATION TRUST FUNDC00834739 Joint fundraising participantCOMMITTEE TO ELECT MIKE EZELLC00776393
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1916719Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
EZELL VICTORY FUNDC00838672 Joint fundraising participantCOMMITTEE TO ELECT MIKE EZELLC00776393
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1884310Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
SCALISE LEADERSHIP FUND 2024C00857144 Joint fundraising participantCOMMITTEE TO ELECT MIKE EZELLC00776393
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1788304Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
STRATEGIC DEFENSE FUNDC00956862 Joint fundraising participantCOMMITTEE TO ELECT MIKE EZELLC00776393
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1999038Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
KEEP AMERICA MOVING COMMITTEEC00958637 Joint fundraising participantCOMMITTEE TO ELECT MIKE EZELLC00776393
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 2005862Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
COMMITTEE TO ELECT MIKE EZELLC00776393 Authorized candidateEZELL, WALTER MICHAELH2MS04258
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
COMMITTEE TO ELECT MIKE EZELLC00776393 Connected organizationTRANSPORTATION TRUST FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
NEW SHERIFF PACC00832808 Leadership PAC sponsorEZELL, WALTER MICHAELH2MS04258
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 2006353Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $7,400
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash1c68dc65342268a3a3bb666af2863b059d1a3c11bcfb3e9c419c7cf287bf30fa

View official FEC record

EZELL, WALTER MICHAEL

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast