WAGNER, ANN L.

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Missouri · District 2 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH2MO02102

Overview

Raised: $4.2Mvs $4.3M 2023–2024
Spent: $5.7Mvs $2.7M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $1.6Mvs $3.1M 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 66%
Rating: Lean R
Predicted margin: R+2.1

VotePredictor gives Ann Wagner a 66% chance of winning as of November 12, 2026. Based on 4 polls of the race, blended with its fundamentals.

Ann Wagner’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	81%
Oct 1, 2026	81%
Oct 6, 2026	81%
Oct 10, 2026	80%
Oct 16, 2026	80%
Oct 21, 2026	75%
Oct 22, 2026	69%
Oct 24, 2026	68%
Oct 25, 2026	68%
Oct 31, 2026	68%
Nov 3, 2026	66%
Nov 4, 2026	66%
Nov 6, 2026	65%
Nov 8, 2026	66%
Nov 12, 2026	66%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review · No open linked indicators

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

No open indicators are linked in the published index. This is not a compliance clearance.

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Missouri · District 2
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: ANN WAGNER FOR CONGRESS (C00495846)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Ann Wagner? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$1.6M
Unitemized individual contributions$761.7K
Other committees$1.4M
Transfers from affiliates$217.4K
Other receipts$116.2K

Top contributors

WAGNER FOR MISSOURIRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$125.2K14 contributions
GOP WINNING WOMEN 2026100% Republican-aligned activityInferred from activity$46.7K9 contributions
WAGNER HILL VICTORY FUND

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$5.6M
Contribution refunds$70.3K
Other disbursements$35.4K

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEMixed activity · 46% Democratic / 54% RepublicanInferred from activity$10.3K

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT$707.5KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Sep 30, 2026
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT$462.9KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Sep 14, 2026
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT$354.8KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Sep 25, 2026
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT$314.5KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Sep 8, 2026
STRATEGIC MEDIA PLACEMENT$188.4KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Jun 22, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Missouri · District 2
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: PO BOX 50 · BALLWIN, Missouri, 63022-0050
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

WAGNER FOR MISSOURIC00765701 Joint fundraising participantANN WAGNER FOR CONGRESSC00495846
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1894317Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
WAGNER VICTORY COMMITTEEC00775387 Joint fundraising participantANN WAGNER FOR CONGRESSC00495846
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1859820Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
GOP WINNING WOMEN 2026C00899633 Joint fundraising participantANN WAGNER FOR CONGRESSC00495846
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1957919Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
WAGNER HILL VICTORY FUNDC00938449 Joint fundraising participantANN WAGNER FOR CONGRESSC00495846
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1945529Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
ANN WAGNER FOR CONGRESSC00495846 Authorized candidateWAGNER, ANN L.H2MO02102
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
ANN WAGNER FOR CONGRESSC00495846 Connected organizationTAKE BACK THE HOUSE 2022Reported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
A NEW NATION PACC00531764 Leadership PAC sponsorWAGNER, ANN L.H2MO02102
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1945532Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $70,318
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash8753cf8bee2d3110988c6679c5bd51dc132ef808569e3826e7fd85dd6a8302f4

View official FEC record

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$14,516	$0
Feb 25	$102,340	$0
Mar 25	$246,755	$0
Apr 25	$24,972	$2,540
May 25	$76,790	$0
Jun 25	$103,289	$3,000
Jul 25	$21,989	$0
Aug 25	$27,661	$0
Sep 25	$217,368	$2,500
Oct 25	$54,081	$0
Nov 25	$79,645	$0
Dec 25	$100,176	$0
Jan 26	$81,177	$0
Feb 26	$57,369	$0
Mar 26	$108,718	$0
Apr 26	$53,266	$25,000
May 26	$38,097	$0
Jun 26	$135,099	$0
Jul 26	$41,350	$0
Aug 26	$92,938	$11,720
Sep 26	$95,447	$1,000

WAGNER, ANN L.

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast