AHMED, JUNAID

DemocraticFEC reportedDemocratic candidate · U.S. House · Illinois · District 8 · Election 2026 · Open seatH2IL08146

Overview

Raised: $1.7Mvs $12K 2023–2024
Spent: $1.7Mvs $40.8K 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $14.9Kvs $0 2023–2024
Debts owed: $245Kvs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe D
Predicted margin: D+13.7

VotePredictor forecasts this race between Melissa Bean (D) and Jennifer Davis (R) as of October 31, 2026, giving the Democrat a 99% chance. Junaid Ahmed is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

The Democrat’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	97%
Oct 1, 2026	97%
Oct 6, 2026	97%
Oct 9, 2026	95%
Oct 10, 2026	95%
Oct 16, 2026	95%
Oct 24, 2026	96%
Oct 25, 2026	97%
Oct 26, 2026	99%
Oct 31, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

3 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 2 integrity · 1 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $253,500
GPS IMPACT received 80.8% of positive itemized operating spending in FRIENDS OF JUNAID's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Mar 16, 2026
Fundraising pattern for review →Cluster total: $20,500
Multiple reported donors associated with the same normalized employer gave to this recipient on one date. Repeated amounts and concentration within the loaded cycle warrant a review of possible fundraising activity. The pattern does not establish a bundler, coordination or wrongdoing.
Evidence date: Jun 29, 2025
Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 1 notice(s) to FRIENDS OF JUNAID about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-09-15, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Sep 15, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Illinois · District 8
Reported party: Democratic
Election year: 2026
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: FRIENDS OF JUNAID (C00906891)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Junaid Ahmed? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$1.3M
Unitemized individual contributions$74.1K
Other committees$50.3K
Candidate contributions$72K
Candidate loans$200K
Other receipts$185

Top contributors

AHMED, JUNAID$202K6 contributions
SYED, WAHEEDDemocraticDerived from contributions$14K3 contributions
KHALIL, SHAIZA A.

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1.6M
Contribution refunds$80.6K
Other disbursements$300

Largest operating payments

GPS IMPACT$121.8KTV ADVERTISING · Feb 23, 2026
GPS IMPACT$121.8KTV ADVERTISING · Feb 6, 2026
GPS IMPACT$121.8KTV ADVERTISING · Feb 13, 2026
GPS IMPACT$120KTV ADVERTISING · Mar 9, 2026
GPS IMPACT$90KTV ADVERTISING · Mar 2, 2026
GPS IMPACT$86.5KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Feb 25, 2026
GPS IMPACT$49.2KDIGITAL ADVERTISING · Feb 11, 2026
GDA WINS$38.7KDIRECT MAIL · Feb 3, 2026
GPS IMPACT$31.2K

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jun 25	$331,350	$0
Jul 25	$30,700	$0
Aug 25	$15,000	$0
Sep 25	$429,682	$0
Oct 25	$22,975	$0
Nov 25	$43,875	$0
Dec 25	$248,400	$0
Jan 26	$65,502	$0
Feb 26	$87,202	-$1,650
Mar 26	$189,613	$0
Apr 26	$10,000	$0
May 26	$40,000	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Illinois · District 8
Party affiliation: Democratic
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: 1220 L ST NW · WASHINGTON, District of Columbia, 20005
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

FRIENDS OF JUNAIDC00906891 Authorized candidateAHMED, JUNAIDH2IL08146
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jun 2, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $80,593
Debts owed by committees: $245,000
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hashbbdee905e604ccab2aa6a92d7bb610036e03c054a31aa40fc20922a37dcf6b51

View official FEC record

AHMED, JUNAID

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Race forecast

Money network