ASENSIO, MANUEL

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Florida · District 6 · Election 2026 · ChallengerH2FL03197

Overview

Raised: $50Kvs $402 2023–2024
Spent: $22.5Kvs $40.4K 2023–2024
Cash on hand: -$12Kvs $0 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Sep 30, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+25.0

VotePredictor forecasts this race between Eric Yonce (D) and Randy Fine (R) as of November 8, 2026, giving the Republican a 99% chance. Manuel Asensio is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

The Republican’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Nov 8, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

1 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 1 notice(s) to ASENSIO FOR CONGRESS LLC about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-08-07, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Aug 7, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 1 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Florida · District 6
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: ASENSIO FOR CONGRESS LLC (C00955500)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Manuel Asensio? Read the article →

Sources

Unitemized individual contributions$3
Candidate loans$50K

Top contributors

ASENSIO, MANUEL PETER$50K1 contribution

All contributors →

Sources are the candidate's reported totals by line; the lists rank the principal committee's itemized receipts of $200 or more and exclude memo entries.

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$22.5K

Largest operating payments

FLORIDA DEPARTMENT OF STATE, DIVISION OF ELECTIONS$10.4KCANDIDATE QUALIFYING FEE · Jun 10, 2026
INDUSTRY ADVOCATES LLC$2,600FACEBOOK DIGITAL ADS / VIDEOS · Jul 21, 2026

All spending →

Payments are the principal committee's reported transactions, largest first.

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month: $50K raised and $0 spent over 1 month.

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Florida · District 6
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Challenger
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: ST. AUGUSTINE, Florida, 32080
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

ASENSIO4CONGRESSC00789461 Authorized candidateASENSIO, MANUELH2FL03197
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
ASENSIO FOR CONGRESS LLCC00955500 Authorized candidateASENSIO, MANUELH2FL03197
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Apr 1, 2026 to Sep 30, 2026
Contribution refunds: $0
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash11c8ab2365a84fb0e61332b38c5999573058dfc877de7c9abc46dd8dd2d9e29b

View official FEC record