LAMALFA, DOUG

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · California · District 1 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH2CA02142

Overview

Raised: $770.9Kvs $1M 2023–2024
Spent: $745.3Kvs $694.2K 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $710Kvs $684.4K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Sep 30, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Rating: Safe D
Predicted margin: D+15.9

VotePredictor forecasts this race between Mike McGuire (D) and James Gallagher (R) as of November 2, 2026, giving the Democrat a 99% chance. Doug Lamalfa is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. Based on 1 poll of the race, blended with its fundamentals.

The Republican’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	2%
Oct 1, 2026	2%
Oct 6, 2026	2%
Oct 10, 2026	2%
Oct 16, 2026	2%
Oct 24, 2026	2%
Oct 25, 2026	1%
Oct 26, 2026	1%
Nov 2, 2026	1%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

2 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 2 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $33,343
PUBLIC SQUARE PARTNERS, LLC received 63.5% of positive itemized operating spending in DOUG LAMALFA COMMITTEE's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Jun 11, 2025
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $18,269
PUBLIC SQUARE PARTNERS, LLC received 61.5% of positive itemized operating spending in DOUG LAMALFA COMMITTEE's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Mar 10, 2025

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 2 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · California · District 1
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: DOUG LAMALFA COMMITTEE (C00509422)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Doug Lamalfa? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$447.7K
Unitemized individual contributions$39.9K
Other committees$282.4K
Other receipts$200

Top contributors

RUE, MICHAEL ERepublicanDerived from contributions$14K6 contributions
VANN, GARNETTRepublicanDerived from contributions$14K3 contributions
BUMPUS, ALEXANDERRepublicanDerived from contributions

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$382.4K
Contribution refunds$149.6K
Other disbursements$213.3K

Largest operating payments

PANTERA$38.5KDONOR RECEPTION AUDIO VISUALS · Jan 23, 2026
PUBLIC SQUARE PARTNERS, LLC$22.7KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING AND SUBSCRIPTIONS · Jun 11, 2025
PUBLIC SQUARE PARTNERS, LLC$22.5KWRAP UP EVENT PRODUCTION, COORDINATION AND TRAVEL · Jan 21, 2026
PUBLIC SQUARE PARTNERS, LLC$20.3KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING, MILEAGE AND SUBSCRIPTIONS · Jan 2, 2026
PUBLIC SQUARE PARTNERS, LLC$17KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING AND SUBSCRIPTIONS · Nov 4, 2025
LAMALFA, JILL$16.7KREIMBURSEMENT: FOOD, DRINKS AND GRATUITY FOR FUNDRAISER · Nov 5, 2025
PUBLIC SQUARE PARTNERS, LLC$11.8KTRAVEL, LANYARDS, PRINTING, FOOD/BEVERAGE AND SUBSCRIPTIONS · Feb 18, 2026
TERRA DAVIS CONSULTING LLC

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$13,200	$224
Feb 25	$500	$500
Mar 25	$9,850	$2,500
Apr 25	$3,500	$0
May 25	$49,500	$625
Jun 25	$82,063	$0
Jul 25	$550	$375
Aug 25	$3,050	$1,000
Sep 25	$33,500	$1,500
Oct 25	$96,100	$0
Nov 25	$22,900	$0
Dec 25	$105,520	$1,000
Jan 26	$4,000	$2,000
Feb 26	$0	$4,000
Mar 26	$0	$20,900
Apr 26	$0	$4,000
May 26	$0	$4,300

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: California · District 1
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: 16 LAMALFA LN. · BIGGS, California, 95917
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

TRANSPORTATION TRUST FUNDC00834739 Joint fundraising participantDOUG LAMALFA COMMITTEEC00509422
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1916719Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
LAMALFA VICTORY FUNDC00925636 Joint fundraising participantDOUG LAMALFA COMMITTEEC00509422
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1924167Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
DOUG LAMALFA COMMITTEEC00509422 Authorized candidateLAMALFA, DOUGH2CA02142
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
DOUG LAMALFA COMMITTEEC00509422 Connected organizationTRANSPORTATION TRUST FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
NORCAL WATER JOBS LIBERTY PACC00576249 Leadership PAC sponsorLAMALFA, DOUGH2CA02142
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1928520Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Sep 30, 2026
Contribution refunds: $149,610
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash15d9e24d13d10f7247a8bfa3b785ae4ce136893cbac252edfe4334e2324766a8

View official FEC record

LAMALFA, DOUG

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast