GRIJALVA, RAUL M

DemocraticFEC reportedDemocratic candidate · U.S. House · Arizona · District 7 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH2AZ07070

Overview

Raised: —vs $643.9K 2023–2024
Spent: —vs $549.4K 2023–2024
Cash on hand: —vs $300.7K 2023–2024
Debts owed: —vs $4,016 2023–2024

The candidate's financial summary is temporarily unavailable; the lists below come from the principal committee's loaded records.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 99%
Rating: Safe D
Predicted margin: D+28.6

VotePredictor gives Raul M Grijalva a 99% chance of winning as of November 12, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Raul M Grijalva’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Nov 12, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review · No open linked indicators

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

No open indicators are linked in the published index. This is not a compliance clearance.

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Arizona · District 7
Reported party: Democratic
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Not yet a statutory candidate
Principal campaign committee: ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE FOR ALL PAC (C00374058)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money out

Largest operating payments

NGP VAN INC$13.1KSOFTWARE · Nov 3, 2025
CAMPAIGNOLOGY LLC$5,020DIGITAL CONSULTING · Apr 8, 2025
CAMPAIGNOLOGY LLC$5,000DIGITAL CONSULTING · Mar 29, 2025
MILLER, PITT, FELDMAN & MCANALLY PC$4,016LEGAL SERVICES · Apr 29, 2026
ARCHLIGHT PICTURES$4,000PHOTOGRAPHY SERVICES · Apr 2, 2025
NGP VAN INC$3,750SOFTWARE · Nov 3, 2025
NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC CLUB$2,426FOOD & BEVERAGE · Mar 18, 2025
KATZ COMPLIANCE$2,000COMPLIANCE SERVICES · Jan 6, 2025
NGP VAN INC$1,977SOFTWARE · Jun 12, 2026
NGP VAN INC$1,977SOFTWARE · Jun 12, 2026

All spending →

Payments are the principal committee's reported transactions, largest first.

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month: $0 raised and $103K spent over 1 month.

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

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Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Arizona · District 7
Party affiliation: Democratic
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Not yet a statutory candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: PO BOX 1242 · TUCSON, Arizona, 85702
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE FOR ALL PACC00374058 Associated candidateGRIJALVA, RAUL MH2AZ07070
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE FOR ALL PACC00374058 Authorized candidateGRIJALVA, RAUL MH2AZ07070
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate master: reported principal campaign committee (CAND_PCC). The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
LIVABLE COMMUNITIES PACC00426965 Leadership PAC sponsorGRIJALVA, RAUL MH2AZ07070
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1817482Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Not reported
Contribution refunds: —
Debts owed by committees: —
Last report: Not reported

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash0a67677a41770ac75d61c7240a1d600061d340d25e9fc2ab951f148a1b099b1d

View official FEC record