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New records for CRANE, ELI.2025–2026 election cycle

Records from this candidate’s linked campaign committees.

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CRANE, ELI

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Arizona · District 2 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH2AZ01354

Overview

Raised: $11.9Mvs $8.6M 2023–2024
Spent: $10.9Mvs $8.3M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $1.3Mvs $317.4K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $202.8K 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 91%
Rating: Likely R
Predicted margin: R+7.0

VotePredictor gives Eli Crane a 91% chance of winning as of October 30, 2026. Based on 3 polls of the race, blended with its fundamentals.

Eli Crane’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	93%
Oct 1, 2026	93%
Oct 6, 2026	93%
Oct 10, 2026	93%
Oct 16, 2026	92%
Oct 22, 2026	84%
Oct 24, 2026	90%
Oct 25, 2026	91%
Oct 30, 2026	91%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

4 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 4 integrity · 0 fundraising patterns

Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $1,629,168
TARGETED VICTORY LLC received 83.9% of positive itemized operating spending in ELI CRANE FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Mar 1, 2026
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $834,764
TARGETED VICTORY LLC received 78.7% of positive itemized operating spending in ELI CRANE FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: Aug 28, 2025
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $652,433
TARGETED VICTORY LLC received 79.1% of positive itemized operating spending in ELI CRANE FOR CONGRESS's report. This is a concentration pattern for review.
Evidence date: May 29, 2025
Operating expenditures concentrated at one payee →Associated amount: $490,761

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Arizona · District 2
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: ELI CRANE FOR CONGRESS (C00784934)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Eli Crane? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$6.8M
Unitemized individual contributions$4.2M
Other committees$126.5K
Party committees$1,000

Top contributors

GROW THE MAJORITY99% Republican-aligned activity · 0% unclassifiedInferred from activity$556.2K15 contributions
EMMER MAJORITY BUILDERSRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$289.6K16 contributions
OZBURN, CHRISTINE

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$10.6M
Contribution refunds$102.6K
Other disbursements$182.3K

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

CLUB FOR GROWTH PACRepublican-aligned activityInferred from activity$6,545

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

TARGETED VICTORY LLC$804.2KDIGITAL FUNDRAISING · Jan 13, 2026
TARGETED VICTORY LLC$587.8KDIGITAL FUNDRAISING · Mar 1, 2026
TARGETED VICTORY LLC$444.9KDIGITAL FUNDRAISING · Aug 28, 2025
TARGETED VICTORY LLC$421.2KDIGITAL FUNDRAISING · May 10, 2026
TARGETED VICTORY LLC$391.7KDIGITAL FUNDRAISING · Jun 2, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Arizona · District 2
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: PO BOX 1950 · CORTARO, Arizona, 85652
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

GROW THE MAJORITYC00858373 Joint fundraising participantELI CRANE FOR CONGRESSC00784934
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 2004179Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
EMMER MAJORITY BUILDERSC00859058 Joint fundraising participantELI CRANE FOR CONGRESSC00784934
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 2010377Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
TEAM CRANE VICTORY FUNDC00900241 Joint fundraising participantELI CRANE FOR CONGRESSC00784934
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1881633Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
ELI CRANE FOR CONGRESSC00784934 Authorized candidateCRANE, ELIH2AZ01354
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
ELI CRANE FOR CONGRESSC00784934 Connected organizationGROW THE MAJORITYReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
TRIDENT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEC00827675 Leadership PAC sponsorCRANE, ELIH2AZ01354
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1942055Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $102,596
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash3b6b81dd7528fafbffa4f41183cef044c1527bf5ee5cab79bde00cdb0d560a48

View official FEC record

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$135,716	$0
Feb 25	$123,504	$0
Mar 25	$275,712	$0
Apr 25	$191,317	$0
May 25	$195,628	$0
Jun 25	$409,567	$0
Jul 25	$282,351	$0
Aug 25	$283,430	$0
Sep 25	$374,317	$0
Oct 25	$332,870	$0
Nov 25	$320,973	$0
Dec 25	$432,289	$0
Jan 26	$387,411	$0
Feb 26	$421,700	$0
Mar 26	$506,916	$2,000
Apr 26	$417,242	$0
May 26	$412,419	$0
Jun 26	$475,770	$0
Jul 26	$1,027	$0

CRANE, ELI

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast