FALLON, PATRICK

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Texas · District 4 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH0TX04219

Overview

Raised: $1Mvs $799.7K 2023–2024
Spent: $585.1Kvs $397.2K 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $1.1Mvs $660.1K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $25Kvs $25K 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 99%
Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+20.0

VotePredictor gives Patrick Fallon a 99% chance of winning as of October 30, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Patrick Fallon’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Oct 30, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review · No open linked indicators

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

No open indicators are linked in the published index. This is not a compliance clearance.

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Texas · District 4
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: FALLON FOR CONGRESS (C00750307)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Patrick Fallon? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$312.6K
Unitemized individual contributions$3,438
Other committees$433.9K

Top contributors

FALLON VICTORY FUNDRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$254.3K3 contributions
FALLON VICTORY FUNDRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$19.9K1 contribution
PATTERSON, DAN96% Republican · 3% unclassified

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$370.7K
Contribution refunds$32.8K
Other disbursements$175.1K

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEMixed activity · 46% Democratic / 54% RepublicanInferred from activity$6,429

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

PATRIOT PROMOTIONS$40.3KPROMOTIONAL ITEMS- T-SHIRTS · Sep 25, 2025
PATRIOT PROMOTIONS$18.2KPROMOTIONAL ITEMS: T-SHIRTS · Apr 13, 2026
GSS VENTURE LLC$15KEVENT SUPPLIES · Aug 11, 2025
814 CONSULTING$10.8KFUNDRAISING CONSULTING · Apr 17, 2026
GSS VENTURE LLC$10KFIELD CONSULTING · Jan 12, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	$1,219	$0
Feb 25	$450	$6,600
Mar 25	$42,591	$25,000
Apr 25	$14,450	$0
May 25	$20,978	$0
Jun 25	$11,950	$2,500
Jul 25	$7,500	$0
Aug 25	$25,777	$0
Sep 25	$7,595	$0
Oct 25	$2,500	$0
Dec 25	$41,462	$0
Jan 26	$212,514	$0
Feb 26	$4,684	$0
Mar 26	$38,552	$2,000
Apr 26	$6,649	$0
May 26	$24,742	$0
Jun 26	$15,561	$5,500

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Texas · District 4
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: PO BOX 1445 · FRISCO, Texas, 75034
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

FALLON VICTORY FUNDC00765552 Joint fundraising participantFALLON FOR CONGRESSC00750307
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1877937Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
DOGE TEXAS JFCC00922211 Joint fundraising participantFALLON FOR CONGRESSC00750307
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1917497Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
STRATEGIC DEFENSE FUNDC00956862 Joint fundraising participantFALLON FOR CONGRESSC00750307
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1999038Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
FALLON FOR CONGRESSC00750307 Authorized candidateFALLON, PATRICKH0TX04219
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
FALLON FOR CONGRESSC00750307 Connected organizationFALLON VICTORY FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
PATRIOTS ALWAYS TRIUMPHC00758722 Leadership PAC sponsorFALLON, PATRICKH0TX04219
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1927346Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $32,750
Debts owed by committees: $25,000
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hashdd22a067db48bedae0091e5ea2f6c81dd45e496a169af2a0747f17625b830079

View official FEC record

FALLON, PATRICK

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast