ROGERS, HAROLD DALLAS

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Kentucky · District 5 · Election 2026 · IncumbentH0KY05015

Overview

Raised: $1Mvs $1.1M 2023–2024
Spent: $1.3Mvs $805.6K 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $701.9Kvs $1M 2023–2024
Debts owed: $0vs $0 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 99%
Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+57.3

VotePredictor gives Hal Rogers a 99% chance of winning as of November 14, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Hal Rogers’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Nov 14, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review indicators

2 open

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Nov 5, 2026 · Index refreshed: Nov 5, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Nov 5, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Nov 5, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Nov 5, 2026).

0 receipt eligibility · 1 integrity · 1 fundraising patterns

Fundraising pattern for review →Cluster total: $10,500
Multiple reported donors associated with the same normalized employer gave to this recipient on one date. Repeated amounts and concentration within the loaded cycle warrant a review of possible fundraising activity. The pattern does not establish a bundler, coordination or wrongdoing.
Evidence date: Mar 31, 2026
Financial integrity review →Associated amount: $0
The FEC issued 1 notice(s) to HAL ROGERS FOR CONGRESS about reports it had not filed, most recently on 2026-06-04, and no filing covering those periods appears in the loaded archive.
Evidence date: Jun 4, 2026

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

View all 2 open indicators →

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Kentucky · District 5
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: HAL ROGERS FOR CONGRESS (C00116632)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Hal Rogers? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$493.3K
Unitemized individual contributions$1,480
Other committees$397.2K
Transfers from affiliates$23.4K
Other receipts$109K

Top contributors

HAL ROGERS VICTORY FUNDRepublicanInferred from FEC-reported participants$23.4K4 contributions
SCOFIELD, JOHN95% RepublicanDerived from contributions$10.5K3 contributions
EGNEW, JAMES C

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1.3M
Contribution refunds$11.6K
Other disbursements$23K

Largest operating payments

GRIT CREATIVE, LLC$330.1KDIGITAL CONSULTING · Apr 24, 2026
CHURCHILL DOWNS INC.$64.9KFACILITY RENTAL · Feb 13, 2025
GRIT CREATIVE, LLC$51KADVERTISING EXPENSE · Mar 16, 2026
GRIT CREATIVE, LLC$39KDIGITAL CONSULTING · May 28, 2026
CHURCHILL DOWNS INC.$30.3KFACILITY RENTAL · Mar 24, 2025
MULLENIX DESIGN$28.9KGRAPHIC DESIGN · Feb 12, 2026
CARDMEMBER SERVICE$19.1KSEE MEMO ITEMS · Mar 24, 2025
AD EAST, INC.$17.4KPRINTING · Mar 13, 2025
AD EAST, INC.

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Kentucky · District 5
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Incumbent
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: PO BOX 1214 · SOMERSET, Kentucky, 42502
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

HAL ROGERS VICTORY FUNDC00898296 Joint fundraising participantHAL ROGERS FOR CONGRESSC00116632
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1878560Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
HAL ROGERS FOR CONGRESSC00116632 Authorized candidateROGERS, HAROLD DALLASH0KY05015
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
HAL ROGERS FOR CONGRESSC00116632 Connected organizationHAL ROGERS VICTORY FUNDReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
HELP AMERICA'S LEADERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEC00376038 Leadership PAC sponsorROGERS, HAROLD DALLASH0KY05015
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1766332Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $11,601
Debts owed by committees: $0
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash22316b39220e461b2cb6d464b770c93d4b9dff8bb92cb7ff878daa4e805677c4

View official FEC record

Month	Raised	Spent
Feb 25	$9,000	$0
Mar 25	$5,250	$0
Apr 25	$10,500	$0
May 25	$22,500	$0
Jun 25	$13,853	$0
Jul 25	$3,500	$0
Aug 25	$3,500	$0
Sep 25	$73,600	$15,000
Oct 25	$20,600	$0
Dec 25	$7,000	$2,000
Jan 26	$3,000	$0
Feb 26	$12,500	$3,200
Mar 26	$161,450	$0
Apr 26	$34,250	$0
May 26	$11,750	$0
Jun 26	$30,504	$0

ROGERS, HAROLD DALLAS

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast