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New records for CARL, JERRY LEE, JR.2025–2026 election cycle

Records from this candidate’s linked campaign committees.

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CARL, JERRY LEE, JR

RepublicanFEC reportedRepublican candidate · U.S. House · Alabama · District 1 · Election 2026 · Open seatH0AL01055

Overview

Raised: $1.5Mvs $2.2M 2023–2024
Spent: $1.4Mvs $2.6M 2023–2024
Cash on hand: $168.1Kvs $69.3K 2023–2024
Debts owed: $254.5Kvs $254.5K 2023–2024

OpenFEC processed candidate totals through Oct 14, 2026, across every authorized committee; figures change when amended reports are filed.

Raised is total receipts and Spent is total disbursements as reported for the candidate's authorized committees together; both can include transfers, loans and refunds. Cash on hand and debts are the balances at the end of the last report. The comparison is the same figure for 2023–2024.

Race forecast

Chance of winning: 99%
Rating: Safe R
Predicted margin: R+29.6

VotePredictor gives Jerry Carl a 99% chance of winning as of November 3, 2026. No polls of the race: based on the district's lean, incumbency and the national environment, with published race ratings.

Jerry Carl’s chance of winning

Data

Date	Chance of winning
Sep 25, 2026	99%
Nov 3, 2026	99%

As VotePredictor published it each day since September 25, 2026, including changes to its model.

Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.

Compliance review · No open linked indicators

Automated review indicators, not findings of a violation. Exact reported records are linked; identity is not independently verified. Reported lobbyist-bundling disclosures are not counted as issues.

Latest cycle-wide scan: Oct 18, 2026 · Index refreshed: Oct 18, 2026. Coverage is limited to loaded records and implemented checks.

Scan coverage and freshness

Receipt eligibility: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).
Integrity: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check succeeded (Oct 18, 2026).
Fundraising patterns: last successful scan Oct 18, 2026 · latest scheduled check skipped (Oct 18, 2026).

No open indicators are linked in the published index. This is not a compliance clearance.

Across the cycle, some findings could not be linked safely to entities; ambiguous identities are withheld.

Candidate & race

Office & constituency: U.S. House · Alabama · District 1
Reported party: Republican
Election year: 2026
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Principal campaign committee: JERRY CARL FOR CONGRESS (C00697789)

The principal campaign committee is the reported connection to this candidate. Transaction details below cover that committee; candidate-wide totals can also cover other authorized committees.

Money in

Who's funding Jerry Carl? Read the article →

Sources

Itemized individual contributions$693.7K
Unitemized individual contributions$45.6K
Other committees$527.6K
Transfers from affiliates$183.5K

Top contributors

JERRY CARL VICTORY COMMITTEEParty not classifiedUnclassified$183.5K9 contributions
RICE, GARRETT JAY20% Democratic / 80% RepublicanDerived from contributions$14.1K2 contributions
MYLES, MICHAEL G.

Money out

Spending by kind

Operating expenditures$1.3M
Contribution refunds$17K
Other disbursements$80.7K

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEMixed activity · 46% Democratic / 54% RepublicanInferred from activity$52.8K

All distributions →

Largest operating payments

AX MEDIA$56.5KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Apr 27, 2026
AX MEDIA$41.5KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Jul 8, 2026
AX MEDIA$32.5KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Apr 8, 2026
AX MEDIA$32.5KMEDIA PLACEMENT · Mar 9, 2026
AX MEDIA$31.5KMEDIA PLACEMENT · May 6, 2026

Over time

Itemized receipts and reported spending by month

Data

Month	Raised	Spent
Jan 25	-$176	$0
Mar 25	$0	-$3,500
May 25	$0	$0
Jul 25	$25,200	-$5,000
Aug 25	$19,658	$0
Sep 25	$161,250	$0
Oct 25	$16,200	$0
Nov 25	$15,326	$0
Dec 25	$24,824	$0
Jan 26	$20,213	$0
Feb 26	$22,504	$0
Mar 26	$122,333	$0
Apr 26	$22,068	$2,500
May 26	$20,656	$0
Jun 26	$191,781	$0
Jul 26	$67,870	$0

Explore by day, month or cycle, and compare cycles by party

Follow the activity

Financial timeline

2025–2026 election cycle · dated records

Explore the timing, volume, and size of reported activity.

Money network · top contributors and recipients as a graph

Records

Registration

Office sought: U.S. House
State / district: Alabama · District 1
Party affiliation: Republican
Race status: Open seat
Candidate status: Current candidate
Election year: 2026
Registration snapshot cycle: 2025–2026
Cycles loaded: 2026, 2024
Registered address: PO BOX 852138 · MOBILE, Alabama, 36685
Compliance screening: View review flags

Relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Registration evidence · 2025–2026

Reported relationships are not contributions or transfers. They do not establish that any money changed hands. The reporting committee and related entity are shown separately. Only loaded relationship types are shown; this is not a complete organization chart.

JERRY CARL VICTORY COMMITTEEC00920181 Joint fundraising participantJERRY CARL FOR CONGRESSC00697789
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1915314Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
THE 218 FUNDC00963363 Joint fundraising participantJERRY CARL FOR CONGRESSC00697789
FEC reportedObserved: Oct 11, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion. Observed in the FEC API; the public FEC registration page is linked for inspection.
JERRY CARL FOR CONGRESSC00697789 Authorized candidateCARL, JERRY LEE, JRH0AL01055
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 7, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC candidate–committee linkage. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
JERRY CARL FOR CONGRESSC00697789 Connected organizationJERRY CARL VICTORY COMMITTEEReported name only · no identity match assumed
FEC reportedLoaded: Sep 6, 2026Official FEC source ↗
Cycle-specific FEC committee master: reported connected organization / affiliated committee name. This name-only field does not establish an entity identity match. The date is local ingestion, not the original filing date.
CONSERVATIVE AMERICAN REPUBLICAN LEADERSHIP PACC00752287 Leadership PAC sponsorCARL, JERRY LEE, JRH0AL01055
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1696042Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.
CONSERVATIVE AMERICAN REPUBLICAN LEADERSHIP PACC00919506 Leadership PAC sponsorCARL, JERRY LEE, JRH0AL01055
FEC reportedObserved: Sep 12, 2026Registration filing: 1915380Official FEC source ↗
Current registration observation; not a historical filing-date assertion.

FEC-reported relationships

Loading registration relationships…

Filings

All reports filed with the FEC ↗

Reconciliation

Coverage: Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 14, 2026
Contribution refunds: $17,015
Debts owed by committees: $254,536
Last report: PRE-GENERAL

Source and provenance

Source agencyFederal Election Commission

Local row ingestedSep 6, 2026

Source row hash92c470dbf46e9685842acabd19b4b525132cb50b053a9ba923b9873bede61848

View official FEC record

CARL, JERRY LEE, JR

Overview

Race forecast

Candidate & race

Money in

Sources

Top contributors

Money out

Spending by kind

Largest transfers and contributions to committees

Largest operating payments

Over time

Financial timeline

Records

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

FEC-reported relationships

Top employers

Top industries

Top states

Money network

Race forecast