Campaign money · 2025–2026 cycle
Who's Funding Tj Stephens?
Tj Stephens’s campaign for the U.S. Senate in Michigan has reported raising $1,000 through June 30, 2026. That includes $500 (50%) in itemized individual contributions and $500 from the candidate in contributions and loans. Itemized contributions name each contributor; the rankings below are built from them. The FEC lists the candidate as Thomas Wayne Stephens.
At a glance
Total raised$1,000July 1, 2025 – June 30, 2026
| Source | Amount | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Individuals giving over $200 | $500 | 50% |
| The candidate’s own money | $500 | 50% |
The leader in each category
Itemized contributions, 2025–2026 cycle
- Top individualJanice Kavanaugh$500 · 50% of $1,000
- Top occupationRetired$500 · 100% of $500
- Top stateTexas$500 · 100% of $500
The race
- Rating
- Lean D
- Predicted margin
- D+2.8
VotePredictor forecasts this race between Abdul El-Sayed (D) and Mike Rogers (R) as of October 29, 2026, giving the Democrat a 81% chance. Tj Stephens is not one of the two candidates it forecasts. Based on 18 polls of the race, blended with its fundamentals.
Data
| Date | Chance of winning |
|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | 44% |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 39% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | 38% |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 47% |
| Jul 3, 2026 | 47% |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 48% |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 47% |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 49% |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 47% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 49% |
| Jul 26, 2026 | 47% |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 29% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 47% |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 36% |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 34% |
| Aug 4, 2026 | 35% |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 36% |
| Aug 6, 2026 | 35% |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 38% |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 35% |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 38% |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 36% |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 38% |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 39% |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 48% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 48% |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 48% |
| Aug 27, 2026 | 48% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 48% |
| Aug 29, 2026 | 48% |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 47% |
| Sep 2, 2026 | 48% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 48% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 50% |
| Sep 19, 2026 | 49% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 48% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 56% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 50% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 70% |
| Sep 27, 2026 | 70% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 72% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 72% |
| Oct 1, 2026 | 74% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | 77% |
| Oct 3, 2026 | 77% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 81% |
| Oct 8, 2026 | 82% |
| Oct 10, 2026 | 84% |
| Oct 11, 2026 | 85% |
| Oct 12, 2026 | 85% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 85% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 63% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 63% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 73% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73% |
| Oct 26, 2026 | 74% |
| Oct 27, 2026 | 75% |
| Oct 28, 2026 | 81% |
| Oct 29, 2026 | 81% |
As VotePredictor published it each day since June 24, 2026, including changes to its model.
Forecast by VotePredictor , updated daily. Its probabilities stay between 1% and 99%; no race is called before it is decided.
Top individual contributors
The largest individual contributor to Stephens’s campaign is Janice Kavanaugh, who gave $500 across 1 contribution. Thomas Stephens gave $500.
Stephens’s top individual contributors
- Janice Kavanaugh$5001 contribution
- Thomas Stephens$5001 contribution
Top employers
Contributors who reported being unemployed, retired or self-employed gave $500 (50% of itemized individual dollars). Employers are as each contributor reported them; a company named here did not give itself.
Stephens’s top employers
- Not Reported$5001 contribution
Top occupations
Contributors reporting no occupation, or being retired, gave $500 (50% of itemized individual dollars).
Stephens’s top occupations
- Retired$5001 contribution
Top industries
Contributors with no employer to classify, or self-employed, gave $500 (50% of itemized individual dollars).
Stephens’s top industries
- Not Reported$5001 contribution
Top states
Texas contributors gave the most, $500 (50% of itemized individual dollars). Michigan, where Stephens is running, is not among the leading states.
Stephens’s top states
- Texas$5001 contribution
About the data
Totals raised come from the FEC's summary of every committee authorized by Tj Stephens. The rankings cover the itemized contributions reported by the principal campaign committee (TJ STEPHENS FOR SENATE), net of refunds and excluding memo entries. A contribution made through a conduit such as ActBlue or WinRed is reported under the person who gave it.
Industries are assigned from each contributor's reported employer. Figures change as the campaign files new and amended reports.
Keep following the money
Go deeper into Stephens's records
Published by GovMoneyGraph from Federal Election Commission records. Not affiliated with any campaign or with the FEC.